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That is true, still curious on which seats BOBNJ thinks the GOP will pick up to be approaching 60....
One potential theory is that the 2016 presidential results would apply to all 2018 Senate races. I don't buy that myself since all of the Democratic incumbents in Trump states have a much better alignment with their state's electorate than Hillary Clinton did, but a few of them may still lose. After all, Republicans picked up Senate seats in 2014 in a couple states that Obama had carried two years earlier (Iowa and Colorado) in addition to several won by Romney.
This outcome would result in 10 Republican pickups (WV, ND, MT, IN, MO, OH, FL, WI, PA and MI) and 1 Democratic pickup (NV). The net gain of 9 for Republicans would give them 60 senators. Realistically, I don't see the Republicans winning the OH, WI, PA or MI Senate seats at this point, but the others are not completely safe. Incumbent senators from the opposite party to the president seldom lose in midterms, but the nation is more polarized than ever and the key decision point for many comes down to whether or not a candidate is with Trump or against him. Democrats are going to need some of the Trump voters' support or at least their non-participation in the midterms.
LOL, which seats do you have them picking up to approach 60??
FL, IN,MO,NV ,ND,MT,OH (I figure given how they lean, GOP wins 5 or 6 of them. My projection btw is we have about 55-57 1-20-19, but given a good 2020 GOP map, Manchin changes parties in 2019. We add a few more in 2020.
One potential theory is that the 2016 presidential results would apply to all 2018 Senate races. I don't buy that myself since all of the Democratic incumbents in Trump states have a much better alignment with their state's electorate than Hillary Clinton did, but a few of them may still lose. After all, Republicans picked up Senate seats in 2014 in a couple states that Obama had carried two years earlier (Iowa and Colorado) in addition to several won by Romney.
This outcome would result in 10 Republican pickups (WV, ND, MT, IN, MO, OH, FL, WI, PA and MI) and 1 Democratic pickup (NV). The net gain of 9 for Republicans would give them 60 senators. Realistically, I don't see the Republicans winning the OH, WI, PA or MI Senate seats at this point, but the others are not completely safe. Incumbent senators from the opposite party to the president seldom lose in midterms, but the nation is more polarized than ever and the key decision point for many comes down to whether or not a candidate is with Trump or against him. Democrats are going to need some of the Trump voters' support or at least their non-participation in the midterms.
WV remains (D) and not only that the (D)'s pick up a seat in the House.
what do you expect them to do in 2019 that they haven't already done in 2018?
an Infrastructure bill. Border Control bill, also. Approve another SC justice as one of the 80 plus geezers will have his/her body say "No mas".
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