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If I were a conspiracy theorist, I'd definitely think there was a little something going on, because Kamala v Joe, take 2? And Elizabeth standing right next to Bernie. You have to admit these are the head to head matches that everyone wanted to see.
I actually think the big contrasts will be Bernie/Mayor Pete vs Warren on night one and Harris/Biden.Booker on night 2. Not because they will go to war but because they have entirely different approaches. Pete & Bernie are all about feelings (worm and fuzzy or bitter/redistributive) while Warren has moved ahead based on constant campaigning and planning, planning, planning. Harris will either have to find a new victim card or launch more frontal attacks while Biden has to figure out how to respond without condescending. Or at least respond. The Booker can launch into his latest iteration of piggybacking everyone else's pandering.
Names are in alphabetical order. Where they stand hasn't been announced.
The people with the highest poll numbers are in the middle and it goes out from there. That is Warren and Sanders for the first night and Biden and Harris for the second. At least that is what I've seen referenced elsewhere
Change in positions of candidates relative to last time (Bullock simply replaces Swalwell)
Up 2 positions : Harris, Delaney
Up 1 position : Sanders, Yang, Hickenlooper
No change : Biden, Buttigieg, Booker, Castro, Gabbard, Ryan, Inslee, Williamson
Down 1 position : Warren, Klobuchar, Gillibrand, Bennet, De Blasio
Down 2 positions : O’Rourke
After the other candidates watched Kamala Harris wring Joe Biden's neck, they might decide it's time to go full on WWF. It could be a fun couple of nights!
I actually think the big contrasts will be Bernie/Mayor Pete vs Warren on night one and Harris/Biden.Booker on night 2. Not because they will go to war but because they have entirely different approaches. Pete & Bernie are all about feelings (worm and fuzzy or bitter/redistributive) while Warren has moved ahead based on constant campaigning and planning, planning, planning. Harris will either have to find a new victim card or launch more frontal attacks while Biden has to figure out how to respond without condescending. Or at least respond. The Booker can launch into his latest iteration of piggybacking everyone else's pandering.
The first night I agree with you: the second I am really not sure. It does seem like someone has decided who will be the final candidates come primary time and let the rest just stand back and watch. I think it is too early for that.
The first night I agree with you: the second I am really not sure. It does seem like someone has decided who will be the final candidates come primary time and let the rest just stand back and watch. I think it is too early for that.
"Someone" would be the assortment of polling they use to determine the rank of the candidates. It's all based on how they are doing in current polling based on the polls agreed to by the DNC and the debate sponsor, CNN in this case.
If someone has a break out performance like Kamala Harris did, they rise in the polls and their position on stage changes.
There is no August debate but I think things will start to shake out a lot more with the September debate, because the requirements to participate are much stricter and will cut the field at least in half, likely winnow out even more than that, and we should be down to a field of maybe 6 or so. I think the current top 4 will all be in there, but I suspect some candidates may see more movement and it's hard to predict who could end up being numbers 5 through 8. And I'd expect that to be the maximum number on the stage in September.
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