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Alabama, Tennessee and Arkansas will likely go to Biden.
Not that it will matter. If Sanders wins California and Texas, it would be almost impossible for anyone else to catch up to him and win.
Aren't all of the states doing the proportional split thing?
"Wins" are all hypothetical this year. The delegate are split up and someone has to get over the threashold.
If no one does, then it is brokered, which means...
All but 2 CA polls at Real Clear Politics has had 3 candidates at / over 15% for 9 months straight and the 2 exceptions were very close and 2-3 months ago.
Early voting already started earlier in the week in NC. They are voting now. If it's like previous elections, 1/2 the votes will already be cast by the time election day gets here.
I've seen Buttigieg and Sanders. The only appearance of Bloomberg in Greensboro got him laughed at. Bloomberg is running TV adverts, but I suspect nobody pays mind to them. He's another bozo on the bus with those things.
High Point poll had Bloomberg 3rd and high enough to earn delegates. Plenty of time for things to change up or down or not change.
High Point poll has Biden in the lead in NC. Sanders close but Biden has been in lead in every NC poll at RCP for 9 months.
Buttigieg a distant 5th in latest NC poll.
Latest TX poll has 3 over delegate threshold such that Sanders might only get 40% of delegates there. There are a few Super Tuesday states he may or may not get delegates in.
After Super Tuesday would Biden or Bloomberg endorse the other? Or somebody else? I dunno. Maybe, maybe not, maybe later. Depends on details. Delegates. Biden fund-raising. Ego. Concern about Sanders. Hope & strategy at the Convention.
Biden might have 500 delegates after Super Tuesday. It could fade to under 300. It would surprise if it is higher than 500. Sanders likely to be near, at or above 700 after ST.
How many will Bloomberg get? Is there a number that embarrasses him enough to not stay in 2-8 more weeks or all the way? I dunno. Over 200 he probably stays in. Less than 100, maybe not.
Sanders won't get the nom. He's too liberal and won't get the African American vote. Don't forget there are still a lot of moderates voting. Unfortunately Buttigieg is out because he's gay. Our country is sadly not ready for that yet. I love him though. Biden is out so where will the moderates who support him go. Bloomberg is the dark horse. While the other democratic candidates are busy putting each other down to one up each other, Bloomberg is focused on Trump.
After Super Tuesday would Biden or Bloomberg endorse the other? Or somebody else? I dunno. Maybe, maybe not, maybe later. Depends on details. Delegates. Biden fund-raising. Ego. Concern about Sanders. Hope & strategy at the Convention.
Biden might have 500 delegates after Super Tuesday. It could fade to under 300. It would surprise if it is higher than 500. Sanders likely to be near, at or above 700 after ST.
How many will Bloomberg get? Is there a number that embarrasses him enough to not stay in 2-8 more weeks or all the way? I dunno. Over 200 he probably stays in. Less than 100, maybe not.
Can't delegate votes be "bought"? There's someone with $60 Billion asking that question!
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