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Except for those pesky 2.2 million Republican ballots already cast in Florida. There will be Trump voters on Election Day. There will be Biden voters on Election Day. Keep in mind that the Rep/Dem early vote split was about 50/50 in Florida in 2016.
But who is more likely to vote on election day during this pandemic?
We know the answer to that, the same people who attend Trump rallies.
Per Florida polls, no-party/independent are Biden +8
Many newly registered voters in Florida register as no-party for the past 5+ years. This is the fastest growing voter registration group in Florida and it continues to grow faster than Dem and Rep registrations.
This is correct. 25% of the FL electorate is Independent. Biden currently leads them. It's the single most important voter bloc in the state.
Total Voted: 6,018,430
Total Voted as Percentage of Registered Voters: 42.8%
Total Voted by Party Registration
Party Count Percent
Democrats 2,555,072 42.5
Republicans 2,200,418 36.6
Minor 73,989 1.2
No Party Affiliation 1,188,951 19.8
TOTAL 6,018,430 100.0
FL-GOPers outperformed my expectations today. They have built an in-person early voting lead of 311,106, while reducing the Dem lead in all pre-Election Day voting to 302,773. Truly stellar stuff
Just to provide context, FL-GOPers demolished more than 50K of the Dems' pre-ED voting lead in a single day. If this keeps pace into the weekend, Dems will have lost their entire pre-ED lead.
Florida is a great state to watch on election night. Here is why:
1) It closes early so we get results quickly
2) They count their ballots fast so we will know who won it before midnight (hopefully)
3) If Biden wins it we can go to sleep because it means he won the Presidency
4) If Trump wins it then we are gonna have a fight on our hands for the rest of the night
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Storm King
Florida is a great state to watch on election night. Here is why:
1) It closes early so we get results quickly
2) They count their ballots fast so we will know who won it before midnight (hopefully)
3) If Biden wins it we can go to sleep because it means he won the Presidency
4) If Trump wins it then we are gonna have a fight on our hands for the rest of the night
Only in normal election years. 2020 being 2020, for all we know, it may all come down to Arizona (2 hrs ahead of FL)
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