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Old 10-23-2020, 12:08 PM
 
3,306 posts, read 1,349,213 times
Reputation: 2730

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Quote:
Originally Posted by backstreetsdrive View Post
Thing is, we are watching 4/4 voters. Guess who'se voting for Rs?

First time voters. Voters who didn't vote in 2016.

Rs are about 15% "ahead" (ie. have voted 15% fewer of their 4/4 voters) of Ds.

4/4 voters = voters that have voted in the last 4 presidential elections...guaranteed to vote.
You know what’s even better? A voter who has already voted in THIS election. Lets do it America, return those ballots!

 
Old 10-23-2020, 12:12 PM
 
7,158 posts, read 4,748,426 times
Reputation: 6511
Looks like some voter registration trouble for dems. In FL, GOP has made highest voter registration gains since 1972.
https://rumble.com/vasocv-msnbc-gop-...=28fgf&mrefc=2
 
Old 10-23-2020, 01:09 PM
 
5,581 posts, read 2,313,274 times
Reputation: 4809
Quote:
Originally Posted by toodie View Post
Looks like some voter registration trouble for dems. In FL, GOP has made highest voter registration gains since 1972.
Young people in Florida mostly register as non-party. Non-party registration has surged in Florida in the past 5 years. Non-party is almost 1/3 of the electorate in Florida. A lot of these young people vote Dem. A lot of non-party are using absentee ballots in Florida for 2020 and many of them already returned their absentee ballot.

https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tan...nk-since-2016/
 
Old 10-23-2020, 01:36 PM
Status: "Moldy Tater Gangrene, even before Moscow Marge." (set 8 days ago)
 
Location: Dallas, TX
5,790 posts, read 3,604,359 times
Reputation: 5697
Quote:
Originally Posted by backstreetsdrive View Post
https://mobile.twitter.com/AirBossUT...74291147988992

Nothing to see here.....just Trump LITERALLY WINNING THE HISPANIC VOTE IN MIAMI-DADE, FLORIDA.
For full disclosure. Make of it what you will. The tweet is from

Real Election Analysis
@AirBossUT5
Election Data Analysis. Undefeated In Multiple Debates Against Nate Silver And The Election Mafia. #PollsArentReal . Views DO NOT Represent My Employer.

"Undefeated in multiple debates" (which debates, who decided AirBoss won the debates. Where are the tweeter's debate records with Silver?

"The Election Mafia" (beware the emotional advertisers, superlative language, dread-inducing word choices)

#PollsArentReal (this should be self-explanatory).
 
Old 10-23-2020, 01:50 PM
 
4,295 posts, read 2,770,186 times
Reputation: 6220
Quote:
Originally Posted by backstreetsdrive View Post
https://mobile.twitter.com/AirBossUT...74291147988992

Nothing to see here.....just Trump LITERALLY WINNING THE HISPANIC VOTE IN MIAMI-DADE, FLORIDA.
Nothing Earth shattering about that. Cuban-Americans traditionally vote GOP.
 
Old 10-23-2020, 03:02 PM
 
Location: Madison, Alabama
13,018 posts, read 9,541,871 times
Reputation: 8970
Watching the Trump rally at The Villages - there's an attractive blonde just over Trump's right shoulder that's jumped up and down at least a thousand times. She must really be excited about Trump.
 
Old 10-23-2020, 07:00 PM
Status: "everybody getting reported now.." (set 29 days ago)
 
Location: Pine Grove,AL
29,589 posts, read 16,568,312 times
Reputation: 6050
Quote:
Originally Posted by Eeko156 View Post
Nothing Earth shattering about that. Cuban-Americans traditionally vote GOP.
Doesnt matter, the person you are arguing with is only talking about in person early voting, not total votes.

More people have voted by mail , 7 to 1 in Florida , than in person. So he is only talking about 1/7th of the vote instead of talking about all early voting.

In short, he is purposefully misleading people.


Quote:
Republican Democrat Other No Party Affiliation Total

Vote-by-Mail Provided (Not Yet Returned) 805,829 1,044,179 40,456 649,182 2,539,646

Voted Vote-by-Mail 1,041,525 1,610,564 40,483 687,692 3,380,264

Voted Early 641,324 499,802 16,451 234,115 1,391,692


https://countyballotfiles.floridados...ts/PublicStats


so actual returned ballots + early in person voting =


Dems 2.1 million
GOP 1.68 million
3rd/other 96K

now to be clear, we have no idea how any of those people voted.
 
Old 10-23-2020, 07:58 PM
 
3,306 posts, read 1,349,213 times
Reputation: 2730
Quote:
Originally Posted by dsjj251 View Post
Doesnt matter, the person you are arguing with is only talking about in person early voting, not total votes.

More people have voted by mail , 7 to 1 in Florida , than in person. So he is only talking about 1/7th of the vote instead of talking about all early voting.

In short, he is purposefully misleading people.


https://countyballotfiles.floridados...ts/PublicStats


so actual returned ballots + early in person voting =


Dems 2.1 million
GOP 1.68 million
3rd/other 96K

now to be clear, we have no idea how any of those people voted.
I have noticed a number of new accounts spamming the threads.

That said, I am so impressed by the voter turn out in Florida. Amazing.
 
Old 10-23-2020, 08:10 PM
Status: "everybody getting reported now.." (set 29 days ago)
 
Location: Pine Grove,AL
29,589 posts, read 16,568,312 times
Reputation: 6050
Quote:
Originally Posted by hellopity View Post
I have noticed a number of new accounts spamming the threads.

That said, I am so impressed by the voter turn out in Florida. Amazing.
The Admins just banned a bunch of the spamming accounts that were linking to twitter and only twitter. My guess is they were all run by the same person. The same is probably going to happen in a week or 2.
 
Old 10-23-2020, 08:53 PM
 
Location: Los Angeles
7,826 posts, read 2,734,504 times
Reputation: 3387
The question is....is how much of a Dem lead in EV do they need to be comfortable on election day.....I'm following Steve Schale on this....somebody threw out 200,000....and Steve said it's too early to determine. Florida is an interesting race this year.

https://twitter.com/steveschale/stat...94391586832384
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