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Old 10-27-2020, 07:13 AM
 
5,581 posts, read 2,306,085 times
Reputation: 4804

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Florida polls are consistently showing more Republicans voting for Biden. Net difference shows a 4%-5% gain to Biden due more Republicans voting for Biden than Dems voting for Trump.

Below is from a new Florida poll released today. This is the 4th FL poll showing Rs flipping for Biden in high rates.

FL Atlantic Univ poll released 10/27/2020

https://business.fau.edu/departments...orida-edge.php

Biden holds a stronger base vote with 98% of voters who always vote democrat breaking for the former Vice President

93% of voters who always vote republican break for Trump.

Of voters who say they split their ticket, 53% are breaking for Biden and 39% for Trump.

 
Old 10-27-2020, 07:20 AM
 
20,187 posts, read 23,849,411 times
Reputation: 9283
Quote:
Originally Posted by Variable View Post
Florida polls are consistently showing more Republicans voting for Biden. Net difference shows a 4%-5% gain to Biden due more Republicans voting for Biden than Dems voting for Trump.

Below is from a new Florida poll released today. This is the 4th FL poll showing Rs flipping for Biden in high rates.

FL Atlantic Univ poll released 10/27/2020

https://business.fau.edu/departments...orida-edge.php

Biden holds a stronger base vote with 98% of voters who always vote democrat breaking for the former Vice President

93% of voters who always vote republican break for Trump.

Of voters who say they split their ticket, 53% are breaking for Biden and 39% for Trump.
Biden is doing so well... And still lose the election...
 
Old 10-27-2020, 07:32 AM
 
10,740 posts, read 4,340,156 times
Reputation: 5819
Democrats continue to fade....
Democrats = 2,685,500 = 41.8
Republicans = 2,383,218 = 37.1

https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/FL.html
 
Old 10-27-2020, 07:37 AM
 
5,581 posts, read 2,306,085 times
Reputation: 4804
In Florida, as of 8:30am 10/27/2020

302,282 more Democrats have already voted, over Republicans that already voted. This combines mail ballots and early in-person ballots already cast.

Florida has 5-6 more days of early in-person voting(depends on county) plus in-person election day voting. Latest poll expects 61R/38 D in-person turnout on election day. Most Floridians will have already voted either via mail or early in-person versus election day voters.

Mail ballots are allowed until the polls close on election day. Florida doesn't count mail ballots that arrive after the polls close on election day, even if postmarked before election day.
 
Old 10-27-2020, 03:50 PM
 
26,562 posts, read 14,438,823 times
Reputation: 7431
the florida RCP just flipped, trump now leads but just by 0.4
 
Old 10-27-2020, 04:08 PM
 
Location: Arizona
13,247 posts, read 7,300,036 times
Reputation: 10091
Quote:
Originally Posted by MAGAalot View Post
Democrats continue to fade....
Democrats = 2,685,500 = 41.8
Republicans = 2,383,218 = 37.1

https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/FL.html
No one knows who the non party voted for this really isn't telling us much. Then again we need something to talk about until next week.

My personal feeling is Republicans will fall short even on election night because anyone who is very enthusiastic for Trump would have voted already in person.
 
Old 10-27-2020, 04:13 PM
 
5,581 posts, read 2,306,085 times
Reputation: 4804
Very recent Florida polls indicate that many people which originally planned to vote in-person on election day now plan to vote early in-person.

Latest Susquehanna poll indicates 11% of Floridians plan to vote in-person on election day.
 
Old 10-27-2020, 04:18 PM
 
Location: From Denver, CO to Hong Kong China
900 posts, read 375,390 times
Reputation: 389
Quote:
Originally Posted by MAGAalot View Post
Democrats continue to fade....
Democrats = 2,685,500 = 41.8
Republicans = 2,383,218 = 37.1

https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/FL.html
Who will decide this are the more than 1 million independents
 
Old 10-27-2020, 04:21 PM
 
Location: FL
20,702 posts, read 12,529,417 times
Reputation: 5452
Quote:
Originally Posted by kell490 View Post
With all this early voting the media isn't doing any exit polling where they usually get there data from to make election night predictions.
I thought they only did that on election day.
 
Old 10-27-2020, 04:25 PM
 
3,306 posts, read 1,346,364 times
Reputation: 2730
Quote:
Originally Posted by Variable View Post
Very recent Florida polls indicate that many people which originally planned to vote in-person on election day now plan to vote early in-person.

Latest Susquehanna poll indicates 11% of Floridians plan to vote in-person on election day.
The situation is quite dynamic. With COVID on the surge (or as Trump would say, turned the corner), many people are feeling jittery about waiting until Nov 3rd. If the massive early turnout is contributed, in part, by the shifting of Nov 3rd voters to early voters, then the spread in early voting needed by Democrats is much smaller. Obviously, going by party registration says little about the actual vote, nor does it say anything about the huge bloc of unaffiliated voters. Lets hope we break the total turnout this year and make it memorable!
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