[LKJ1988]

Originally Posted by AngelaRetired

lol

If this storm does like the last 500 have done i am gonna be very upset chet.

[AngelaRetired]

Originally Posted by LKJ1988

If this storm does like the last 500 have done i am gonna be very upset chet.

Lol LKJ, I hope no cane this year. We got Puerto Ricans running here from their island. Angela

[LKJ1988]

Originally Posted by AngelaRetired

Lol LKJ, I hope no cane this year. We got Puerto Ricans running here from their island. Angela

They need to stay there. Time to never allow anyone from any country to come here. We gots too many peeps as it is. I just want some 80mph gust and 5"+ of rain jane..

[AngelaRetired]

Originally Posted by LKJ1988

They need to stay there. Time to never allow anyone from any country to come here. We gots too many peeps as it is. I just want some 80mph gust and 5"+ of rain jane..

[Travelassie]

Originally Posted by LKJ1988

They need to stay there. Time to never allow anyone from any country to come here. We gots too many peeps as it is. I just want some 80mph gust and 5"+ of rain jane..

Well, here's hoping you get them. From a Cat 2 Ian that's 80 miles off your coast, and never got closer to the rest of the FL coast than 100 miles as it made its way north.

Though my interests would hope for the thing being too weak to ever be picked up by that system they're talking about, and fizzling out before it makes it out of the western Caribbean. But speaking of pipe dreams........don't think that will happen.

[Travelassie]

Originally Posted by ForeverFl311

I swear the weather folks have a better idea on where the storm will go, than what’s made public. I guess it boosts the states economy when you have an entire state scrambling to go buy supplies.

Well, they have to thread the needle between causing undue panic and mayhem from over-reporting, and undue complacency on the part of the populace by under-reporting conditions possibly conducive to devastating results. And the conditions they use to predict these things are often unknown, or subject to change. It can't be an easy job.

It was the same thing with Irma five years ago. I'd be hard pressed to say if there was a part of Florida that was not affectec by this storm.

[beachmouse]

The thing with Tampa Bay is that a near miss from the ‘dirty’ side of the storm can still easily cause billions in damages if it funnels too much water into the bay. The SLOSH models say that it doesn’t take much to put a good chunk of the city underwater even if landfall proper is significantly further north.

[LKJ1988]

Originally Posted by beachmouse

The thing with Tampa Bay is that a near miss from the ‘dirty’ side of the storm can still easily cause billions in damages if it funnels too much water into the bay. The SLOSH models say that it doesn’t take much to put a good chunk of the city underwater even if landfall proper is significantly further north.

Depends on how strong it gets and the angle it moves and it's forward speed and how high the tide is clyde at the time is passes just north of the bay ray. Think of these storms as pulling up a bowl of water that is the surge. A cat two 20 to 50 miles offshore from the Tampa area will bring some surge and flood the normal places that flood. 80 miles or more offshore would be much better for the Tampa area and if it makes landfall just south of the bay kay then no surge. If it blew up into a CAT5 and moved just north of Tampa it would be over the city kitty.

I don't see nothing blowing up to a Cat5 in this case chase.

[Corrie22]

well.....the latest cone of death has it right back on Steinhatchee .....don't know if you guys are familiar with it....but I don't think that place could stand this at all

[beachmouse]

Originally Posted by Corrie22

well.....the latest cone of death has it right back on Steinhatchee .....don't know if you guys are familiar with it....but I don't think that place could stand this at all

It’s swampland that is very lightly populated because there really aren’t good beaches around there. And I agree it wouldn’t take much at all to return structures there to the swamp.