Welcome to City-Data.com Forum!
U.S. CitiesCity-Data Forum Index
Go Back   City-Data Forum > U.S. Forums > Florida
 [Register]
Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
View detailed profile (Advanced) or search
site with Google Custom Search

Search Forums  (Advanced)
Reply Start New Thread
 
Old 09-22-2022, 08:05 AM
 
Location: Free State of Florida
25,745 posts, read 12,832,402 times
Reputation: 19311

Advertisements

At this time (9-22 10am e.s.t.), the GFS model says a Cat 1 hits Louisiana on October 2nd.

If that occurs, gasoline prices will rise because Louisiana has 1.165 Million oil drilling sites (see map link below), & many will shut down:

https://www.drillingmaps.com/Gulf.html
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message

 
Old 09-22-2022, 08:46 AM
 
18,458 posts, read 8,287,342 times
Reputation: 13784
Quote:
Originally Posted by JBtwinz View Post
When you posted this I went straight to the Hurricane Centers site and not see anything threatening. Now it is playing up in the news big time this morning. Pretty cool you spotted this so early!
thanks!! it takes a good week for us to get ready....so I'm always looking

you know....about those models the NHC is trying to use

NHC didn't invent those models....they are weather models the NHC is trying to average....blend...to come up with their forecasts

if the NHC really knew what they were doing....they wouldn't be blending and averaging a pot full of models

....if the NHC really knew what they were doing.....there would be only one model...the right one
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 09-22-2022, 08:57 AM
 
Location: South Tampa, Maui, Paris
4,480 posts, read 3,855,495 times
Reputation: 5329
Quote:
Originally Posted by beach43ofus View Post
At this time (9-22 10am e.s.t.), the GFS model says a Cat 1 hits Louisiana on October 2nd.

If that occurs, gasoline prices will rise because Louisiana has 1.165 Million oil drilling sites (see map link below), & many will shut down:

https://www.drillingmaps.com/Gulf.html


what does the euro say?
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 09-22-2022, 09:12 AM
 
18,458 posts, read 8,287,342 times
Reputation: 13784
Quote:
Originally Posted by sinatras View Post
what does the euro say?
been there already....

Quote:
Originally Posted by Corrie22 View Post
that's the GFS......ECMWF has it somewhere else entirely....Crossing Florida around Cedar Key

it's got a defined center this morning....so they will be able to initiate the new runs a little better

models are run at 8am 2pm 8pm 2am....but it takes several hours....so what you see posted is actually the previous model runs
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 09-22-2022, 12:16 PM
 
30,438 posts, read 21,280,188 times
Reputation: 11995
Quote:
Originally Posted by JBtwinz View Post
When you posted this I went straight to the Hurricane Centers site and not see anything threatening. Now it is playing up in the news big time this morning. Pretty cool you spotted this so early!
No one has a clue drew but me. NOT GONNA HAPPEN. Take it to the bank hank. It's always the same places that get all rain jane. A Cedar key hit would destroy me if it is a CAT 5 with gust over 200mph. ANYTHING OVER 120MPH WOULD BE THE END for my area. None of these homes could take 120+. Let alone a surge of up to 28ft pete.

Just remember FLIP FLOP and NOT GONNA HAPPEN. BUT IF IT DOES MY SISTERS PILLS WILL TAKE CARE OF THE PROB FAST. Not gonna go months without A/C.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 09-22-2022, 01:26 PM
 
18,458 posts, read 8,287,342 times
Reputation: 13784
I'm going to store this here....so in a week I can find it and see how they did

Thurs 29...noon

ECMWF.....coming ashore at Cedar Key
GFS.....dead center in the gulf....directly below Pensacola

Tues 27.....
ICON......dead center on top of Key West
ECMWF.....dead center on top of Key West (second run)

Last edited by Corrie22; 09-22-2022 at 02:16 PM..
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 09-22-2022, 01:31 PM
 
Location: SW Florida
14,952 posts, read 12,157,534 times
Reputation: 24832
Quote:
Originally Posted by Corrie22 View Post
I'm going to store this here....so in a week I can find it and see how they did

Thurs 29...noon

ECMWF.....coming ashore at Cedar Key
GFS.....dead center in the gulf....directly below Pensacola

Tues 27.....
ICON......dead center on top of Key West
Looks like the Ventusky site has the thing criss-crossing the state.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 09-22-2022, 01:58 PM
 
18,458 posts, read 8,287,342 times
Reputation: 13784
Quote:
Originally Posted by Travelassie View Post
Looks like the Ventusky site has the thing criss-crossing the state.
LOL....Lassie, go to the bottom left corner.....models....and change the models
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 09-22-2022, 03:01 PM
 
Location: SW Florida
14,952 posts, read 12,157,534 times
Reputation: 24832
Quote:
Originally Posted by Corrie22 View Post
LOL....Lassie, go to the bottom left corner.....models....and change the models

LOL, guess I just don't know how to navigate the site. Will go back and check it out.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 09-22-2022, 04:56 PM
 
30,438 posts, read 21,280,188 times
Reputation: 11995
Flip flopping like a fish on the deck by heck. Just so you all know bros, we gotta wait for a center to form norm. If the center forms a good bit to the north then south FL could get some action by Mon and if the center forms to the south then it could be for the panhandle randle or more to the west. It's all gonna come down to that dig down from the north. It's all about timing. Still nothing at all to see as there is nothing but some clouds. Maybe by fri nite dwight or Sat morn we will see a center form.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
Please register to post and access all features of our very popular forum. It is free and quick. Over $68,000 in prizes has already been given out to active posters on our forum. Additional giveaways are planned.

Detailed information about all U.S. cities, counties, and zip codes on our site: City-data.com.


Reply
Please update this thread with any new information or opinions. This open thread is still read by thousands of people, so we encourage all additional points of view.

Quick Reply
Message:


Settings
X
Data:
Loading data...
Based on 2000-2020 data
Loading data...

123
Hide US histogram


Over $104,000 in prizes was already given out to active posters on our forum and additional giveaways are planned!

Go Back   City-Data Forum > U.S. Forums > Florida
Similar Threads

All times are GMT -6.

© 2005-2024, Advameg, Inc. · Please obey Forum Rules · Terms of Use and Privacy Policy · Bug Bounty

City-Data.com - Contact Us - Archive 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37 - Top