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I don't think Los Angeles will surpass New York in regards to the actual city's population. I do think however that in around 20-30 years, the metro area's population will surpass New York's.
There's a near 7 million person gap between Los Angeles and NYC metro areas.
Metro Los Angeles is confined to two counties.
If Metro Los Angeles did surpass Metro NYC, then Los Angeles city would pretty much have to also surpass NYC in population, unless you think places like Anaheim or Long Beach are going to add millions of residents.
Actually if you look at it from different perspective New York, Boston , Philadelphia, and Baltimore and Washington D.C. are one big metropolitan area (they are connected to each other) and that combined is way bigger than Los Angeles. But most of Southern California is developed from Santa Barbara to San Diego so you could compare that..
There's a near 7 million person gap between Los Angeles and NYC metro areas.
Metro Los Angeles is confined to two counties.
If Metro Los Angeles did surpass Metro NYC, then Los Angeles city would pretty much have to also surpass NYC in population, unless you think places like Anaheim or Long Beach are going to add millions of residents.
There needs to be caveats here.
LA and the Inland Empire are functionally one MSA as are their Urban Areas. The only reason they are separate MSA's is due to San Bernardino county being 20k sq/mi in area which distorts commuting patterns. Greater LA's 18.3 million people is denser than NYC's Tri-state area of 21.9 million, so on a regional level they aren't that far off.
Will LA proper ever pass NYC? Doubtful, it's not zoned for it nor is it land constrained the way NYC is.
Will the greater LA region pass NYC's? More than likely in our lifetime.
LA and the Inland Empire are functionally one MSA as are their Urban Areas. The only reason they are separate MSA's is due to San Bernardino county being 20k sq/mi in area which distorts commuting patterns. Greater LA's 18.3 million people is denser than NYC's Tri-state area of 21.9 million, so on a regional level they aren't that far off.
Will LA proper ever pass NYC? Doubtful, it's not zoned for it nor is it land constrained the way NYC is.
Will the greater LA region pass NYC's? More than likely in our lifetime.
>>Will the greater LA region pass NYC's? More than likely in our lifetime.
Ya. I find it funny that NYC Metro is sometimes considered part of 3 different states (NJ,NY, and CT). I don't know if that's true, but I read somwhere that some stastics include those areas. In LA, we keep it all in one state and almost half in one county.
NY Jersey is less than two miles across the Hudson River from Manhattan with the distance being even closer between the Staten Island borough and NJ. Greenwich, CT is just 35 miles from Grand Central Station in midtown. Large numbers of workers in NYC live in NJ and CT commuting into the city. Portions of NJ and CT are most definitely part of the NYC Metro region.
Actually if you look at it from different perspective New York, Boston , Philadelphia, and Baltimore and Washington D.C. are one big metropolitan area (they are connected to each other) and that combined is way bigger than Los Angeles. But most of Southern California is developed from Santa Barbara to San Diego so you could compare that..
Camp Pendleton, unless it is closed one day, prevents that merger from occurring.
Sorry, but the way I'm reading this post is someone who has quite a few airs about Los Angeles.
I can't answer if it will ever happen, but definitely not anytime soon. New York City will be the biggest city for the forseeable future.
I really dislike how everyone has this superiorty attitude about their city vs other cities.... It's really childish.
That's interesting coming from a Bostonian. I don't think Jesse's post was childish at all.
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