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There was already data being put out that told us the supposedly massive CA exodus of 2020 was totally overblown and nowhere near as big as the media has been reporting.
The biggest moves in CA by far were from the coast to inland, not out-of-state.
The US Postal Service reported a teeny weenie 700 or so business and individual address changes from the Bay Area to Texas in 2020. That's like nothing compared to 20,000 address changes from the Bay Area to Metro Sacramento.
Connecticut 0.9% growth, 47th out of 50, while Mass grew 7.4% and NY 4.2%. Income tax killed that state's growth, and at least pre-COVID was reflected in relatively cheap real estate in Greenwich, Darien, Westport, and impossibly cheap real estate even in the wealthiest New Haven and Hartford suburbs.
Didn't CA show a loss in the 2020 estimates? 39.53m is higher than its 2019 estimate.
That could imply that moving in general was way down in 2020 --- fewer people than expected fleeing CA's COL. Maybe IL doesn't lose as many people as during a normal year.
People leave California with a heavy heart because it is a beautiful, smart, diverse state that you generally only leave if the cost of living forces you. Illinois is the inverse. Everyone wants to leave but the cheap cost of living and maybe family keeps you there. The point is that if Americans are in a moving mood they will be least likely to leave California and most likely to leave a place like Illinois.
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