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Here's a chart I made with the full numbers. New York City has 1 million more people than anticipated and the entire net Census undercount is accounted for by the Northeast.
New York - surpassed 20 million, with the estimate off 864,000!
Illinois - population much more stable than estimates reported, only losing 18,000 people in a decade
New Jersey - up to almost 9.3 million! Under estimated by 400,000!
Pennsylvania - passes the 13 million mark! Under estimated by 200k!
New York - surpassed 20 million, with the estimate off 864,000!
Illinois - population much more stable than estimates reported, only losing 18,000 people in a decade
New Jersey - up to almost 9.3 million! Under estimated by 400,000!
Pennsylvania - passes the 13 million mark! Under estimated by 200k!
NJ numerically growing faster than MA was a huge, huge shock. Must have been a large Natural Increase.
Both. I also thought it was fishy when they said NYS' population decreased by 80,000 people, yet, more construction was underway and rental units had an uptick an occupancy.
Same with MA... they said the past 3 years there was a pause and decline in population.. when inventory came to 0, supply increased, and availability inched clsoer to 0.
Maybe the Census Estimated need to use new methods. Because it looks like their parameters suck.
800k off in NYS?? Thats a bit extreme. Did they just count everyone moving out and forget to count everyone moving in?
I think that this census shows that a lot of states that are considered “unpopular” are still gaining population or are stagnant while popular states are just so popular that they add enough population of gain more seats even if states that lost seats aren’t necessarily losing population.
I think the most interesting information released so far is Illinois. It shows that Illinois only lost 18,000 people, far less than the 250k estimated lost. Though it still doesn’t bode well, it really doesn’t seem like Illinois is hemorrhaging people.
In fact, I wouldn’t be surprised if Chicago, or at least it’s metro area gained population and the majority of those loses are from rural areas.
Despite a slowdown overall in population change between 2010 and 2020 compared to 2000 - 2010, it looks like 18 states actually accelerated their absolute population growth the past decade compared to the preceding one. Here are the ones that accelerated their growth in absolute numbers (ranked in order by to what degree they accelerated):
1. Michigan (went from a decline of 55k in 2000 - 2010 to almost 200k gained in 2010 - 2020. An incredible turnaround for the state)
2. Rhode Island (1,073% the growth rate recorded in 2000 - 2010)
3. North Dakota (352%)
4. Massachusetts (245%)
5. New York (209%)
6. Louisiana (199%)
7. Ohio (149%)
8. New Jersey (133%)
9. South Dakota (124%)
10. Iowa (121%)
11. Washington (119%)
12. Nebraska (119%)
13. Montana (110%)
14. Minnesota (106%)
15. Vermont (105%)
16. Colorado (103%)
17. Oregon (100.2%)
18. Idaho (absolute growth was almost exactly the same in 2010 - 2020 as 2000 - 2010 at 100.1%)
Conversely these were the top 10 states where absolute growth slowed down the most:
1. West Virginia (went from growth to decline)
2. Mississippi (went from growth to decline)
3. Illinois (went from growth to decline)
4. Wyoming (only 20% of 2000 - 2010 absolute growth rate)
5. Connecticut (20% of 2000 - 2010 absolute growth rate)
6. New Mexico (25%)
7. Alaska (31%)
8. Arkansas (40%)
9. Missouri (44%)
10. Kansas (53%)
Last edited by dbcook1; 04-26-2021 at 03:36 PM..
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