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It says US is undercounted by 18.8 million people: "In the PES, the Census Bureau estimated 18.8 million omissions in the population."
And...
"The PES found that the 2020 Census had neither an undercount nor an overcount for the nation. It estimated a net coverage error of -0.24% (or 782,000 people) with a standard error of 0.25% for the nation, which was not statistically different from zero."
So which is it?
The release states that many of the individual persons who did not participate in the census were counted via imputation. One scenario where this would be done is if a home is clearly occupied, but the Census Bureau was never able to make contact with residents to obtain their information. So they used statistical techniques and public records to fill in the gaps as much as possible.
"In the PES, the Census Bureau estimated 18.8 million omissions in the population. Omissions are people who were not correctly counted in the census. Some of these people were missed by the census. However, omissions may have been accounted for in the census counts as whole-person imputations."
In summary, the 18.8 million omission is not equivalent to an under-count. The total US population was under-counted by very little (i.e. 0.24%).
The Black population in the 2020 census had a net undercount of 3.3%, while it was almost 5% for Hispanics and 5.6% for American Indians and Native Alaskans living on reservations. The non-Hispanic white population had a net overcount of 1.6%, and Asians had a net overcount of 2.6%, according to one of the reports.
In the 2010 census, by comparison, the Black population had a net undercount of more than 2%, while it was 1.5% for the Hispanic population. There was almost a 4.9% undercount for American Indian and Alaskan Natives living on reservations, and it was 0.08% for Asians. The non-Hispanic white population had a net overcount of 0.8%.
The 2020 census missed 0.24% of the entire U.S. population, a rate that wasn’t statistically significant, while it missed 0.01% in the 2010 census.
Undercount for Black and Hispanics was roughly 2x greater than in 2010. This is significant.
The Black population in the 2020 census had a net undercount of 3.3%, while it was almost 5% for Hispanics and 5.6% for American Indians and Native Alaskans living on reservations. The non-Hispanic white population had a net overcount of 1.6%, and Asians had a net overcount of 2.6%, according to one of the reports.
In the 2010 census, by comparison, the Black population had a net undercount of more than 2%, while it was 1.5% for the Hispanic population. There was almost a 4.9% undercount for American Indian and Alaskan Natives living on reservations, and it was 0.08% for Asians. The non-Hispanic white population had a net overcount of 0.8%.
The 2020 census missed 0.24% of the entire U.S. population, a rate that wasn’t statistically significant, while it missed 0.01% in the 2010 census.
Undercount for Black and Hispanics was roughly 2x greater than in 2010. This is significant.
All results for Black areas can be taken with a grain of salt for this census.
The Black population in the 2020 census had a net undercount of 3.3%, while it was almost 5% for Hispanics and 5.6% for American Indians and Native Alaskans living on reservations. The non-Hispanic white population had a net overcount of 1.6%, and Asians had a net overcount of 2.6%, according to one of the reports.
In the 2010 census, by comparison, the Black population had a net undercount of more than 2%, while it was 1.5% for the Hispanic population. There was almost a 4.9% undercount for American Indian and Alaskan Natives living on reservations, and it was 0.08% for Asians. The non-Hispanic white population had a net overcount of 0.8%.
The 2020 census missed 0.24% of the entire U.S. population, a rate that wasn’t statistically significant, while it missed 0.01% in the 2010 census.
Undercount for Black and Hispanics was roughly 2x greater than in 2010. This is significant.
Can someone better than me at math take this information and calculate what the actual demographics of the country were in 2020?
Undercount for Black and Hispanics was roughly 2x greater than in 2010. This is significant.
Certainly true - and not surprising considering the priorities of the administration that oversaw the 2020 Census. Additionally leadership in a number of predominantly Sunbelt states, where population growth fell short of estimates, made very little effort to prioritize getting their entire populations counted.
County/metro area estimates will be released on March 24th.
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