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Biden is favored 2 to 1 in absentee ballots by mail according to the NC State Board of Elections data on absentee ballots that have already been counted so there is the potential for Biden to come out slightly ahead in NC, but if so it would probably be in recount territory.
Where does that 100000 figure come from, farebluenc?
NYT is saying 95% of vote has been counted, with 5.4 million votes reported. 5% of 5.4 is about 270K. Even if we take the half of it, that's like 135K. So his math seems to check out. 3 counties that are reporting under 90% are Orange (82%), Chowan (88%) and Forsyth (89%). Everywhere else is between 91% and 98%
Well, not sure about that Hatch, but if Orange Co ballots are out they would be heavily Dem.
The N&O says this:
Quote:
Roughly 117,000 outstanding absentee by-mail ballots remain, according to the N.C. State Board of Elections, though it’s not certain how many of them will be cast. People can request a mail-in ballot but decide not to vote.
Mail-in ballots must be postmarked on or before Election Day and received by Nov. 12 to be counted. But it’s also not clear if the Board of Elections will release the results of the additional mail-in ballots as they are received or wait until the Nov. 12 deadline has passed.
But the 2 to 1 ratio for mail-in absentee ballots favoring Biden if it stayed true (really big if) would give Trump 39000 and Biden 78000 which would have Biden at 2,733,383 to Trump 2,771,084; so could be very close. Who knows.
Well, not sure about that Hatch, but if Orange Co ballots are out they would be heavily Dem.
The N&O says this:
But the 2 to 1 ratio for mail-in absentee ballots favoring Biden if it stayed true (really big if) would give Trump 39000 and Biden 78000 which would have Biden at 2,733,383 to Trump 2,771,084; so could be very close. Who knows.
I don't want to be Florida.
Yes, I think that's precisely the reason AP isn't calling NC yet. It's WAY too close. Looks like Forsyth is also mostly Dem.
I think it's time to stop calling Florida a swing state.
I think Tillis is far enough ahead that the absentee ballots wouldn't make a difference.
About 97K difference. Cunningham's lawyers are probably advising him to wait. If there are still over 100K ballots to consider, they may think he has a chance. Again, who knows.
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