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Then it struck me that this is what appeals to the Republican base, ....
roger stone directly stated that in the documentary "get me roger stone". he claims that he approached trump about running because that was the personality he could get republicans to vote for. it had nothing to do with trumps beliefs or stance on any issues.
Do you want to bet that Trump is a lock to win re-election? Proceed with this sophomoric "impeachment" charade and it will be even more likely Trump is going to win re-election.
I think Trump is more likely than not to win re-election. The Christian Right is on FIRE right now. It's not guaranteed though. Trump hasn't received an impeachment sympathy bounce yet like Clinton did.
while trump's current approval is nearly identical ( 43.3 ) his disapproval is 10points higher then in was when he took office.
That's a good point. When you look at the RCP poll of polls, you see that the disapproval rating marched up 10 points in the first 6 months, and has pretty much stayed there.
I think Trump is more likely than not to win re-election.
i'm at 50/50 currently. if the economy remains the same and trump's campaign is again able to to precisely hit the undecided voters in the swing states then i'm expecting a mirror repeat of 2016 with trump winning the electoral and losing the popular ( altho i'm sure he'll once again claim that was due to millions of phantom illegal voters ).
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Trump hasn't received an impeachment sympathy bounce yet like Clinton did.
i doubt he will. unless there is some dramatic soundbite/video that goes viral ( who knows from who or about what ) i expect his RCP approval to remain between 42.7 and 44.7 thru the impeachment.
i'm at 50/50 currently. if the economy remains the same and trump's campaign is again able to to precisely hit the undecided voters in the swing states then i'm expecting a mirror repeat of 2016 with trump winning the electoral and losing the popular ( altho i'm sure he'll once again claim that was due to millions of phantom illegal voters ).
I wonder if there's really that many undecided voters this go around? Most people seem to already have their mind made up about Trump.
... my guess is that it will hit 50-51% by friday ...
rasmussen currently at 51%. i'll guess that it will be back down to 44% on thursday.
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