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Old 09-22-2019, 11:23 AM
 
197 posts, read 97,996 times
Reputation: 369

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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-Vdk...youtu.be&t=197
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Old 09-22-2019, 11:26 AM
 
Location: United States
12,391 posts, read 7,100,577 times
Reputation: 6135
Of course, the democrats don't have a viable candidate, or platform at this point.

With that said, we're a long way away from the election, it's way too early to call a winner.
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Old 09-22-2019, 11:41 AM
 
Location: Houston
3,163 posts, read 1,727,358 times
Reputation: 2645
Quote:
Originally Posted by wallbuilder View Post
This guy is a total quack! Bill Maher & Michael Moore are total realists and make a lot of sense to me . Dems will not win on “Medicare for All”, rampant legal and illegal immigration and free health insurance for illegals. I WAS a loyal Dem voter for every Dem POTUS nominee since 1984, but stopped voting for them since 2012. I cannot (in good conscience) vote for Trump even though I agree with a lot of what he does. But, the leftist “loons” have not given me a real reason why they deserve my vote and others like me.
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Old 09-22-2019, 11:45 AM
 
7,800 posts, read 4,402,596 times
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You have to be nuts to think Trump or whoever the Democratic nominee will be, has it in the bag. This election will come down to the wire and there are lots of variables.


For the record, I give Trump a greater than 50% chance of winning. Not much greater, but a slight edge at this date.

Last edited by TreeBeard; 09-22-2019 at 11:58 AM..
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Old 09-22-2019, 11:54 AM
 
Location: Houston
3,163 posts, read 1,727,358 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TreeBeard View Post
You have to be nuts to think Trump or whoever the Democratic nominee will be, has it in the bag. This election will come down to the wire and there are lost of variables.


For the record, I give Trump a greater than 50% chance of winning. Not much greater, but a slight edge at this date.
The formula for thumping Trump in 2018 was electing mainstream moderate Dems in red/moderate districts. Why on earth did Dems abandon that strategy?!!
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Old 09-22-2019, 11:55 AM
 
23,990 posts, read 15,091,790 times
Reputation: 12959
He was right about a Trump win in the spring of 2016. IMO, he is right today.

It doesn't matter who the Ds put up. They are just not very good at campaigning.

Howard Dean put an operation in most congressional districts.

Obama was elected, Obama has his own group, not affiliated with the DNC. He ignored Howard Dean.

I know a bunch of democrats. None of them will ever give money to the DNC or the DCCC.

Even if the democrats screamed as loudly as all the republicans in DC do about each and every perceived slight, nobody would pay any attention to them.

By the time this primary is over, the Ds will have destroyed each other.

It is all about turnout. The Sanders people will makes asses of themselves again and take the party down with them. Minorities don't vote.

Who even knows what AOC's policies are?
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Old 09-22-2019, 12:01 PM
 
20,187 posts, read 23,861,848 times
Reputation: 9283
Quote:
Originally Posted by TreeBeard View Post
You have to be nuts to think Trump or whoever the Democratic nominee will be, has it in the bag. This election will come down to the wire and there are lots of variables.


For the record, I give Trump a greater than 50% chance of winning. Not much greater, but a slight edge at this date.
You give any opposing candidate that is winning a "greater than 50% chance of winning"... But if your candidate was winning, I am sure the statement would of been different... You don't even have to search that far....
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Old 09-22-2019, 12:02 PM
 
10,773 posts, read 4,351,834 times
Reputation: 5839
Trump RealClearPolitics polling average is 44.7 right now, easily good enough to win.
In November 2016 it was 43.6, and in September 2018 it was 40.1!
And even when it was 40.1 during the midterms, Republicans won Florida Senate and Governorship!
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...oval-6179.html
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Old 09-22-2019, 12:05 PM
 
7,800 posts, read 4,402,596 times
Reputation: 9438
Quote:
Originally Posted by evilnewbie View Post
You give any opposing candidate that is winning a "greater than 50% chance of winning"... But if your candidate was winning, I am sure the statement would of been different... You don't even have to search that far....

No, I would not. The election will be close no matter who is the nominee or what the polls de jour say.
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Old 09-22-2019, 12:05 PM
 
34,066 posts, read 17,088,810 times
Reputation: 17215
Trump will win, as 2.5 years after attacking the WWC cost them the Rust Belt & Pa (west Pa votes like RB), they have doubled down attacks since.

No path to 270 w/o Dems winning all of the Rust Belt plus Pa.

NONE.
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