Quote:
Originally Posted by ATB108
I'll be shocked if the real death rate is anything above 0.1% once the dust is settled
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Ok, let me try to make this as simple as I can. It's not like this info's been out there all this time anyway.
The reason the death rate has been relatively low is because the number of hospitalization and the need for ICUs hasn't surpassed the number of ICUs available. I'm talking about the availability of respirators, medical personnel, drugs, and other factors involved in treating patients that are not reacting well to this infection.
The concern is when the number of infections and severe cases begin to outnumber the hospitals' capacity to treat everyone. Imagine if the number of ICUs needed was double what is available. Then what?
The death rate right now is artificially being kept low due to availability of medical resources. Once the infection rate and the overall infection number surpass our medical resources' ability to artificially keep these people alive, the death rate will begin to climb.
Here is an example that will make it easier to understand. The bubonic plague is actually pretty easy for our modern medicine to treat. Whenever it turns up somewhere in the world, it is stamped out almost immediately. And so, the death rate to that is lower than low nowadays.
And yet, once upon a time, it killed off about 70% of Europe's population. Why? How? It was left to spread unchecked.
Seeing just how low of a death rate the bubonic plague is nowadays, are you really going to make the argument that it is no big deal? Probably not because we have historical example of it wiping out 70% of the population.
Apply that to the coronavirus. The death rate is low right now because our modern medical resources are artificially keeping it that way. If and when the number of infections and severe cases are more than our medical resources can handle, we will start to see an uptick in the death rate due to severe cases left untreated due to the system being overwhelmed.
Let me guess, you're going to come back with something rightwing and clever or sarcastic. I don't know why I even bother with you guys anymore.