Predict your climate averages for 100 years into the future (nights, frost, normal)

[Patricius Maximus]

Specific prediction is futile a century out, so I'll pass on this thread.

[koyaanisqatsi1]

Australia will (already happening to a lesser degree) be more hotter and drier with frequent droughts, longer heat-waves, bushfires and shorter periods of "wet" weather. Probably everyone will be migrating to NZ's South Island due to water shortages here and the inability to cope with longer lasting heatwaves. The country might be 5C warmer by then. Now we've warmed by more than 1C over the last 15 years.

[chicagogeorge]

Originally Posted by livinlyftafullest

Yeah that Seems REDICULOUS haha there is no way in hell that the southern part of illinois will become as warm as the gulf coast!!!! I dont think it will warm up more than 2-4 F

Your tax dollars at work.

[Ariete]

Originally Posted by B87

They were worked out by multiplying the difference between 81-10 and 61-90 by 5, and then adding it to the 81-10 total, like everybdy else has done. December is colder now than it used to be, which is why it looks ridiculous.

Oh, right.

Does anyone know where you could find those 61-90 normals?

[Qilin34]

Originally Posted by Ariete

Oh, right.

Does anyone know where you could find those 61-90 normals?

HKO is one site; it might not be consistent in time frame, but that is likely more the fault of the home country's meteo organisation.

[Ariete]

Originally Posted by Qilin34

HKO is one site; it might not be consistent in time frame, but that is likely more the fault of the home country's meteo organisation.

Thanks!

Uhm... that method doesn't give really very good results here.



Well, those April and July-Aug 'normals' looks quite attractive, but...

[steveklein]

I think temperatures will be right about where they are 100 years from now. Within a degree one way or the other.

[Northern Maine Land Man]

Climate is determined by the sun. I remember most of the weather over the last century We has a dust bowl during the prolonged drought in the 1930s. It was cold from the 50s into the 60s. Then it warmed up a little and over the last two decades it has cooled some. We just had the coldest March ever. Then in April we had the most snow ever for an April. May was cold and rainy. We are hoping for some warmth this summer, but three days from now the days begin to get shorter and we all know what is coming.

[L.A.-Mex]

winter (dec, jan, feb) spring (mar, apr, may) summer (jun, jul, aug, sep) fall (oct, nov)

2014-

winter low 70s/upper 40s, low 50s
spring low 80s/upper 50s, low 60s
summer mid 90s/upper 60s, low 70s
fall low 80s/ low 60s, upper,mid 50s

2114-

winter mid 70s/mid 50s
spring mid 80s/mid 60s
summer upper 90s, low 100s/ low 70s, mid 70s
fall upper 80s/mid 60s

[alphatier]

Current averages for Freiburg (1990-2013)
JAN: 0/5
FEB: 1/7
MAR: 4/12
APR: 6/16
MAY: 11/21
JUN: 14/24
JUL: 16/26
AUG: 16/26
SEP: 12/21
OCT: 8/16
NOV: 4/9
DEC: 1/6
YEAR mean: 12°C

Assuming a 2C rise we would have the same climate as Rimini, Italy.

Future averages (2081-2110)
JAN: 1/8
FEB: 2/9
MAR: 4/13
APR: 7/17
MAY: 12/23
JUN: 16/26
JUL: 18/29
AUG: 18/29
SEP: 15/25
OCT: 11/19
NOV: 6/12
DEC: 2/9
Mean: 14C