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Old 09-06-2015, 12:27 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,527 posts, read 75,355,132 times
Reputation: 16626

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I hate stalled fronts! Just push off the coast! For end of week. But stalled = more rain so thats welcome. Record highs and real feel of 90s possible before the front

DRY AND UNSEASONABLY HOT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TUE AND WED WITH
BERMUDA HIGH IN CONTROL
. HIGHS EXPECTED TO GENERALLY RUN 10 DEGREES
ABOVE SEASONABLE WITH 850 HPA TEMPS OF 18-19C AND MIXING REACHING
OR EXCEEDING THAT HEIGHT. GENERALLY HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO
LOWER 90S...WHICH MAY PUSH RECORD HIGHS IN A SPOT OR TWO.
DEWPOINTS SHOULD GRADUALLY BE ON THE INCREASE...BUT DEEP MIXING
MAY ALLOW FOR DRIER AIR TO MIX DOWN EACH AFTERNOON

IF FRONTAL
APPROACH IS A BIT SLOWER THAN PROGGED...THURSDAY COULD FEATURE ONE
MORE DAY WITH TEMPS IN THE UPPER 80 TO AROUND 90 ACROSS NYC/NJ
METRO AND INTERIOR...FEATURING HEAT INDICES OF 90-95 DUE TO POOLED
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE.
.


A STALLED COLD
FRONT INTERACTING WITH A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS AND
INCREASING MID/UPPER SUPPORT IN A DEEP SW FLOW REGIME SETS UP
POTENTIAL FOR A FEW ROUNDS OF MUCH NEEDED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS
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Old 09-06-2015, 12:30 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,527 posts, read 75,355,132 times
Reputation: 16626
Quote:
Originally Posted by G8RCAT View Post
The dryness won't be helped much, after the front it's right back to high pressure just 10-15F cooler...
Yeah, not much rain in sight. 3" in nothing now. I Just gave some trees and bushes a nice soaking.

Btw.. i get more stalled fronts then you. You lucky bastard. Lol
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Old 09-06-2015, 12:35 PM
 
Location: Lexington, KY
12,278 posts, read 9,458,249 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Btw.. i get more stalled fronts then you. You lucky bastard. Lol
Haha and I bet you will end up with multiple days of 70s dewpoints as well.
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Old 09-06-2015, 12:42 PM
 
Location: Alexandria, Louisiana
5,039 posts, read 4,355,847 times
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Alexandria had quite a heat wave in late August/early September of 2000.

The all time record high of 109F was reached on Sept 1. It also reached 109F back in July 1901.



Attached Thumbnails
Autumn/Fall 2015 Thread (Northern Hemisphere, Sep-Nov)-untitled3.png   Autumn/Fall 2015 Thread (Northern Hemisphere, Sep-Nov)-untitled2.png  
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Old 09-06-2015, 12:42 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,527 posts, read 75,355,132 times
Reputation: 16626
Quote:
Originally Posted by G8RCAT View Post
Haha and I bet you will end up with multiple days of 70s dewpoints as well.
Hmm, Somehow I doubt that this year.. First I think you have well above normal amount and more than me this year... Second I think 70s are pretty much done for us especially after this week. Even the Bermuda High wont help us get that tropical in the Fall. 60s is tropical in October. lol I think.

But whats funny is, the cold fronts are stalling partly because the waters are warmer than normal so I have a dilemma.
Get the Atlantic coastal waters colder so the fronts can easier get off the coast OR keep them warm for added fuel for snowstorms. Love/Hate.
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Old 09-06-2015, 01:19 PM
 
Location: Alexandria, Louisiana
5,039 posts, read 4,355,847 times
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It's getting warmer than predicted again today, with the temp currently 96F. But it looks like t'storms are building up to the northeast and possibly moving in my direction.
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Old 09-06-2015, 01:19 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,527 posts, read 75,355,132 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RAlex View Post
It's getting warmer than predicted again today, with the temp currently 96F. But it looks like t'storms are building up to the northeast and possibly moving in my direction.
Same here.

=================

My mouth is watering.

When Polar Jet meets Sub Tropical Jet. BOOM.

Both Euro and GFS hinting at a possible snowfall in Eastern Canada after Sept 15th. Of course forget the details, lets just see if it keeps showing up. We know the drill by now.

But latest update GFS is stronger with the storm then the Euro and more moist. 540 line is the rain/snow line

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Old 09-06-2015, 03:13 PM
 
Location: New Jersey
15,318 posts, read 17,227,309 times
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Frost Advisories and a Freeze Warning in Nevada:

...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 8 AM PDT MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ELKO HAS ISSUED A FREEZE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 8 AM PDT MONDAY.


* TEMPERATURES...28 TO 34 DEGREES IN MOST LOCATIONS...WITH SOME
HIGHER ELEVATION VALLEY LOCATIONS COOLING INTO THE LOW 20S.

* TIMING...TEMPERATURES WILL DROP INTO THE 30S SHORTLY AFTER
MIDNIGHT AND CONTINUE TO COOL UNTIL SUNRISE.

* LOCATIONS INCLUDE: JACKPOT...WILDHORSE...OWYHEE

* IMPACTS...GARDENS AND OTHER COLD SENSITIVE OUTDOOR PLANTS MAY
BE DAMAGED OR KILLED.

Looks like Elko, Nevada's average first freeze is September 6th.
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Old 09-06-2015, 03:17 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,527 posts, read 75,355,132 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ilovemycomputer90 View Post
Frost Advisories and a Freeze Warning in Nevada:
Awesome! I love how you sniff them out. I wonder if sometimes my posts help. In the way maybe I say something which helps figure out where the cold is to check. I haven't gotten into the habit of checking the Warnings map daily yet. Soon.

Quote:
Originally Posted by RAlex View Post
It got hotter than expected yesterday, reaching 98F.
Quote:
Originally Posted by RAlex View Post
It's getting warmer than predicted again today.
"Temps over performing by a couple of degrees today". Yeah, no effin kidding. A/C on all day after 11am. Max of 82 here.

https://twitter.com/DarrenSweeney/st...30579130531840
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Old 09-06-2015, 03:19 PM
 
Location: New Jersey
15,318 posts, read 17,227,309 times
Reputation: 6959
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Awesome! I love how you sniff them out. I wonder if sometimes my posts help. In the way maybe I say something which helps figure out where the cold is to check. I haven't gotten into the habit of checking the Warnings map daily yet. Soon.
I do notice things on the maps you post, but in this case it was the blues over Central and Northern Nevada that stuck out lol.
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