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Old 01-22-2017, 04:58 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,526 posts, read 75,333,969 times
Reputation: 16626

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Theres only 1 column I look at to see whats coming or possible. 850mb temp

Been saying since last week. Its coming. Nothing extreme but pattern changing to colder for Eastern US

GFS saying it lasts for a week at least with 2 really quick deep shots of cold air within



Im gonna miss these 40s and 50s. I dont want arctic air!
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Old 01-22-2017, 04:59 PM
 
Location: Broward County, FL
16,191 posts, read 11,367,600 times
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Pretty high chance of severe thunderstorms tonight here. Today was quite warm and humid, hit 85 F with dew points in the mid and upper 60s.




Noticeably cooler after tonight though.
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Old 01-22-2017, 05:12 PM
 
Location: New Jersey
15,318 posts, read 17,224,288 times
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Winter Storm Watch now in effect. I'll believe it when I see it. Tomorrow evening's commute will probably be a disaster either way.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING.

* LOCATIONS...THE SOUTHERN POCONOS REGION OF NORTHEAST
PENNSYLVANIA AND SUSSEX COUNTY NEW JERSEY.

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW AND SLEET.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 5 INCHES.

* ICE ACCUMULATIONS...AROUND A TENTH OF AN INCH.

* TIMING...RAIN WILL OCCUR TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY. TEMPERATURES
WILL THEN LOWER MONDAY WITH THE BEST OPPORTUNITY FOR SIGNIFICANT
WINTER WEATHER WILL BE DURING THE AFTERNOON MONDAY INTO MONDAY
NIGHT.

* IMPACTS...SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL CREATE TREACHEROUS
DRIVING CONDITIONS. STRONG WIND GUSTS COULD BRING DOWN TREE
LIMBS AND COULD PRODUCE SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...LOWERING TO AROUND 1/2 MILE OR LESS IN SNOW.


Quote:
Originally Posted by ral31 View Post
Southern GA and northern FL have largely been spared from F-4 tornadoes since 1950 per the map below from tornadohistoryproject.com.
Very interesting.
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Old 01-22-2017, 05:35 PM
 
Location: Alexandria, Louisiana
5,039 posts, read 4,354,882 times
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Storms are now leaving Georgia going offshore.

A number of warnings in Florida right now.

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Old 01-22-2017, 05:53 PM
 
Location: Alexandria, Louisiana
5,039 posts, read 4,354,882 times
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Tornado warning for Daytona Beach.

Quote:
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EST FOR NORTH
CENTRAL VOLUSIA COUNTY...

At 745 PM EST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was approaching the Daytona International Speedway, or 7 miles west
of Daytona Beach, moving northeast at 60 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage
to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is
likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
Ormond Beach, Holly Hill and Daytona Beach Airport around 750 PM
EST.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Ormond
Beach Airport.
A PDS warning further south.

Quote:
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EST FOR
NORTHEASTERN SEMINOLE AND SOUTHEASTERN VOLUSIA COUNTIES...

At 738 PM EST, a strong and dangerous tornado was located near
Geneva and Lake Harney, moving northeast at 60 mph.

This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may
be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes
will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes,
businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction
is possible.

The tornado will be near...
Maytown around 750 PM EST.
Oak Hill, Apollo Beach and Bethune Beach around 800 PM EST.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Spruce
Creek.
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Old 01-22-2017, 07:35 PM
 
Location: Lizard Lick, NC
6,344 posts, read 4,408,997 times
Reputation: 1996
Went through some farmland that had some sort of little plant sprouting. Winter gardening/farming is more common than I thought.
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Old 01-22-2017, 08:18 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,526 posts, read 75,333,969 times
Reputation: 16626
Im outside and winds are picking up. You can sense something is brewing. Mostly because its not a typical West or North wind from a front.

Winds are off the ocean so a storm is starting to brew and get closer.

Gonna be interesting tomorrow
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Old 01-22-2017, 08:27 PM
 
Location: Lizard Lick, NC
6,344 posts, read 4,408,997 times
Reputation: 1996
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Im outside and winds are picking up. You can sense something is brewing. Mostly because its not a typical West or North wind from a front.

Winds are off the ocean so a storm is starting to brew and get closer.

Gonna be interesting tomorrow
Lucky, wish I could get in on the fun. Unfortunately mother nature has cursed me.
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Old 01-22-2017, 08:57 PM
 
Location: Broward County, FL
16,191 posts, read 11,367,600 times
Reputation: 3530
Tornado Watch here until 6 AM. Nothing has moved in the area yet but I do see a squall line around Lee/Collier counties that's moving in this direction.
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Old 01-23-2017, 04:33 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,526 posts, read 75,333,969 times
Reputation: 16626
Current Alerts Map





Snow total forecast pieced together (this took way too long, I hate these new maps!)








For 1 week I been saying this. It's coming back! And doesn't look like a 2-3 day thing either. Ugh


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