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Old 01-17-2022, 11:39 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,527 posts, read 75,355,132 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BullochResident View Post
Looks like there is a potential ice threat down here later this week. A CAD is expected to crash southward on Friday. The big question will be whether or not there is still precip around when temps drop below freezing Friday evening..”

CAD events are very tricky for models to forecast, so I'm not taking this too seriously yet. I'll wait to see what tomorrow's runs bring.
CAD definitely tricky to forecast. Valleys always hold cold air but any kind of wind mixing down from above can ruin it. Ice is horrible, i dont wish that on anyone

Euro00z holds steady with a big snowstorm virgina to boston. Bit south more than previous run. Gfs still says NO storm



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Old 01-17-2022, 11:58 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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GFS agrees on winter weather for Carolinas

https://twitter.com/EdPiotrowski/sta...32264071249922
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Old 01-18-2022, 04:11 AM
 
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We need more snow here. Been well below average so far



Today's milder temps will likely melt any snow left on the ground but the mild temps won't last.






By Thursday temps will hover in the teens during the day with negative wind chills. Lows temps outside the city will be below zero




Next chance of some snow will be next Sunday night into Monday





https://twitter.com/Skilling/status/...456923653?s=20


Cold over all for the next 15 days






However the trough is expected to retrograde west again as we enter February




Euro Weeklies showing more precip for us in February (hopefully in the form of snow)




With average to below average temps.


Last edited by chicagogeorge; 01-18-2022 at 04:25 AM..
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Old 01-18-2022, 05:26 AM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BullochResident View Post
St Simons actually has an official weather station on it, unlike the other coastal islands in Georgia. Will be interesting to see how low KSSI gets tonight.
Googling 'weather kssi' gets a low of 2 Celsius tonight.
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Old 01-18-2022, 07:55 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Must be January. 10am with sunny skies and its in the 30s down south


About 5-10 below normal for Gulf states. 10+ below in Florida for the hour


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Old 01-18-2022, 07:57 AM
 
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I bet Chicago ends up a good 5F below normal maybe more. As of yesterday Chicago is officially -3.4F below normal. Lets see if we can eat away at the insane positive anomaly from this past December which was +7.5F above normal.

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Old 01-18-2022, 09:17 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,527 posts, read 75,355,132 times
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Latest GFS... 2 storms. First


Front comes through Thursday
Storm exits North Carolina leaving Ice and Snow behind but nothing north of Virginia


Next storm exits Florida leaving ice again in Carolinas. Question is does it come up the coast. GFS gets closer on this run trending towards Euro


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Old 01-18-2022, 09:41 AM
 
Location: Shaker Heights, OH
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All last week the models showed this past storm (Named Izzy by TWC) would move well to our east and NE Ohio would get a couple inches maybe. Then Sunday they upped it to 6-9"...but by the time it ended yesterday, we got 16" in the Cleveland area...some areas over 20".

So I don't trust these models...they totally blew it here.
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Old 01-18-2022, 09:47 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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WPC Outlook map.. Mid Atlantic Snow again. How many times is this with frozen precip south of Philly this month? I think this would be #4?


https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/threats/threats.php


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Old 01-18-2022, 10:24 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,527 posts, read 75,355,132 times
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Bernie Video. Start at 6:45 if you wanna see the GFS-EURO differences regarding this weekends storm. Nothing like a good video to actually see whats happening. Can only do so much with text in a post.

Watch where the High Pressure is!

https://twitter.com/AccuRayno/status...43919798374403

Last edited by Cambium; 01-18-2022 at 10:32 AM..
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