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This is for all of those people (well, that one person with all the zombie accounts at least) who say the US has had normal temperatures this December.
Everybody's talking about MJO, AO, NAO, PNA, AAO looking for a way out of this mess. But to me, it looks like classic La Nina. No end sight, the atmosphere is stuck in a giant mud pit. This will not end this winter.
Here are the GFS ensembles for the end of the month; Euro ensembles are similar. Looks pretty much like a classic La Nina pattern to me: way above average in the US southeast; way below average in Western Canada.
Everybody's talking about MJO, AO, NAO, PNA, AAO looking for a way out of this mess. But to me, it looks like classic La Nina. No end sight, the atmosphere is stuck in a giant mud pit. This will not end this winter.
Here are the GFS ensembles for the end of the month; Euro ensembles are similar. Looks pretty much like a classic La Nina pattern to me: way above average in the US southeast; way below average in Western Canada.
This was not supposed to happen in the insane blowtorch manner that has occurred so far. This looks more like a strong La Nina impact, current basin wide anomalies are at -0.7C (weak-moderate). The MUCH BIGGER factor are the insane warm anomalies over the oceans, western Aleutians, Greenland, etc. that are creating highly anomalous jet stream patterns across the US. There haven't been any below average temperature December months in many years.
Watching the evolution of high latitude blocking and some cooler changes for January, unsure of this validating this far out.
Looking at mean maximums for the eastern US, this winter is not especially anomalous - not record breaking - and Ed, it was your crusade to depict the obviously subtropical US south as some arctic continental hellhole that led to the jokes.
No northerly oceanic region, nor anywhere in Canada, New Zealand, etc, is remotely capable of getting this warm in winter.
I wonder if the average of Jan 2022 will be above 18 C and put Tampa into tropical territory for 2021-2022?
My guess is that it will.
Coconuts growing all over since Tampa does not see 32f or below anymore. I wished this was Dec of 1983 when we got to 19f in Tampa and 1989 that got down to 26f in Tampa.
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