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Anyone want to guesss when more electric and hybrid vehicles will outnumber gas vehicles? I am thinking that especially new car purchases will still be mostly gas powered for at least the next 10-15 years, but I don't any stats or proof.
They already do exceed them. (In price). Which is one reason why they do not exceed them in numbers. Personally, I believe that something else will replace then before they become widely used.
When a new or current technology can charge a battery very fast. And the battery is new technology which is smaller, lighter, and holds more juice than the current batteries out there. Oh yeah and when this is all done for whats cheaper than out there now. So yeah when pigs fly...
No only will range under all conditions (with AC, heater, lights) have to improve substantially but recharge times have to drop to make the vehicles competitive. So limited practical function, limited recharge infrastructure, and high prices will dampen sales for the foreseeable future.
Don't expect the number of electric cars to rival gasoline vehicles in the next thirty years, more, or ever.
Hybrids are a different subject as they are gasoline (or diesel) with electrical power as a supplement. You may see many more limited hybrids as electrical power to facilitate shut down at stop and rolling speed movement seems to provide a real savings.
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When will electric cars exceed gas vehicles?
never, in number of sales / yr
Quote:
Originally Posted by Stylo
Who's to say electric is the future? ...
electric is pretty 'old school' (We had a parking lot & plugs for electrics back in the 1970's). I haven't seen them reaching the longevity of my 35 yr old 50 mpg Rabbits (and various other models of 50 mpg's cars / trucks I have. & Mine aren't retiring anytime soon ). and I don't use ANY GAS (only in chainsaws and lawnmowers)
My vote is for new technology, tho you can bet that continual improvements to ICE will fuel transportation for many moons to come. (as mentioned... think infrastructure, think stagnant WW economies, ... ) maybe transportation will diminish and we can work, eat, and play 'virtually'
I'd have to go with never, or if they do it won't be for 40-50 years (following big advances in battery tech and charging). Even the government that is pimping electric cars, projects that they will comprise barely 10% of the national car fleet in the next 25 years.
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). and I don't use ANY GAS 
(only in chainsaws and lawnmowers)
