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Old 06-27-2019, 08:10 AM
 
996 posts, read 378,864 times
Reputation: 453

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I pass the state border every day on an interstate highway, I will look for the cameras filming license plates. If you know where they are, let me know.

Yes, just raise the gas tax and forget about borrowing money to build ugly Toll gantries .
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Old 06-27-2019, 08:20 AM
 
Location: In the heights
37,131 posts, read 39,380,764 times
Reputation: 21217
Yep, the pull forward due to the tax rebates for Tesla, which drove most sales, meant demand was essentially "used up" in Q4 of last year, so Q1 2019 was rough which your articles (March 13, 2019 and March 6, 2019) have pointed out accurately--that and Tesla prioritized international shipments in Q1.

However, Q2, whose official numbers are to be due in a week or so, looks like a bounceback for Tesla: https://www.ibtimes.com/tesla-delive...growth-2802601 (June 23, 2019)

Meanwhile, a few new models from other automakers have been released which aren't Tesla with the Hyundai Kona and Kia Niro EVs being the most notable for the US.

The Toyota article is interesting, because in a pretty short span of months since that article (January 25, 2019), Toyota did an about face and has now shifted its timetable and efforts: https://www.cnn.com/2019/06/07/busin...ars/index.html (June 07, 2019)

Remember, a battery electric car isn't a hybrid where you simply use fewer gallons overall--it's zero gallons per vehicle. Now, who knows how likely EV adoption rates in CT actually increasing by 50% per year is, but I do think something like 33% per year on average for the next several years is a decent conservative guess which is a lot of vehicles.

Anyhow, come on, you have to sort of think it's funny that that poster was already off for a future prediction at the time he wrote it.

Last edited by OyCrumbler; 06-27-2019 at 08:54 AM..
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Old 06-27-2019, 08:58 AM
 
996 posts, read 378,864 times
Reputation: 453
Quote:
Originally Posted by OyCrumbler View Post
Yep, the pull forward due to the tax rebates for Tesla, which drove most sales, meant demand was essentially "used up" in Q4 of last year, so Q1 2019 was rough which your articles (March 13, 2019 and March 6, 2019) have pointed out accurately--that and Tesla prioritized international shipments in Q1.

However, Q2, whose official numbers are to be due in a week or so, looks like a bounceback for Tesla: https://www.ibtimes.com/tesla-delive...growth-2802601 (June 23, 2019)

Meanwhile, a few new models from other automakers have been released which aren't Tesla with the Hyundai Kona and Kia Niro EVs being the most notable for the US.

The Toyota article is interesting, because in a pretty short span of months since that article (January 25, 2019), Toyota did an about face and has now shifted its timetable and efforts: https://www.cnn.com/2019/06/07/busin...ars/index.html (June 07, 2019)

Remember, a battery electric car isn't a hybrid where you simply use fewer gallons overall--it's zero gallons per vehicle. Now, I don't actually think EV adoption rates in CT are actually going to increase by 50% per year, but I do think something like 33% per year on average for the next several years is reasonable which is a lot of vehicles.

Anyhow, come on, you have to sort of think it's funny that that poster was already off for a future prediction at the time he wrote it.
Tesla is bleeding cash, and eventually will be swallowed up by the big boys like VW. Tesla may be the next Delorean.

Toyota is partnering with Subaru regarding EVs in a joint venture.

An EV vehicle has to be plugged in. The source of the power generated can not be overlooked.

In regards to the prediction by SAE72, it was a question. And that poster wasn't too far off. It is BARELY over 2 % in CT.
Certainly not exploding.

Additionally, there are many bumps in the road ahead for EV production.

https://news.bloombergenvironment.co...obalt-shortage
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Old 06-27-2019, 09:08 AM
 
Location: In the heights
37,131 posts, read 39,380,764 times
Reputation: 21217
Quote:
Originally Posted by Fuele View Post
Tesla is bleeding cash, and eventually will be swallowed up by the big boys like VW. Tesla may be the next Delorean.

Toyota is partnering with Subaru regarding EVs in a joint venture.

An EV vehicle has to be plugged in. The source of the power generated can not be overlooked.

In regards to the prediction by SAE72, it was a question. And that poster wasn't too far off. It is BARELY over 2 % in CT.
Certainly not exploding.

Additionally, there are many bumps in the road ahead for EV production.

https://news.bloombergenvironment.co...obalt-shortage
Sure, Tesla could be swallowed up by a bigger company, and maybe not even a car company. That's probably for the better.

Yea, Toyota is partnering with Subaru to make... battery electric vehicles. That announcement was part of an about face where they moved BEV production on their schedules up by 5 years from 2030 to 2025. Previous interviews with Toyota heads expressed quite a bit of skepticism and has changed only recently.

Who is overlooking the source of power? BEVs are only zero emission at the tailpipe and that's not zero emission. Obviously, supporting mass transit and making walking and biking easier as main modes of getting around are far, far better. However, this was in reference to the gas tax so zero gasoline consumption at the pump is what's relevant here.

The SAE72 username made it as a challenge as those posts were pretty skeptical of increases in EV adoption. That account also posted wrong information and declined to back it up when asked for a link. The question was already answered--in the year prior to it being asked.

Last edited by OyCrumbler; 06-27-2019 at 09:21 AM..
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Old 06-27-2019, 09:20 AM
 
996 posts, read 378,864 times
Reputation: 453
Quote:
Originally Posted by OyCrumbler View Post
Sure, Tesla could be swallowed up by a bigger company, and maybe not even a car company. That's probably for the better.

Yea, Toyota is partnering with Subaru to make... battery electric vehicles. That announcement was part of an about face where they moved BEV production on their schedules up by 5 years from 2030 to 2025. Previous interviews with Toyota heads expressed quite a bit of skepticism and has changed only recently.

Who is overlooking the source of power? BEVs are only zero emission at the tailpipe and that's not zero emission. Obviously, supporting mass transit and making walking and biking easier as main modes of getting around are far, far better. However, this was in reference to the gas tax so zero gasoline consumption at the pump is what's relevant here.

The SAE72 username made it as a challenge as those posts were pretty skeptical of increases in EV adoption. That account also posted wrong information and declined to back it up when asked for a link.


Okay so 2 % of new vehicle sales In CT are for EV vehicles. Does that appear to be a significant amount ? , And along with the estimated 30 % of drivers from out of state that would add revenue, collectively provide enough reason to borrow 300 million dollars to build ugly Gantries and hope and pray that EV sales increase to justify it?

Not to mention the added tax burden on state residents.
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Old 06-27-2019, 09:22 AM
 
Location: In the heights
37,131 posts, read 39,380,764 times
Reputation: 21217
Quote:
Originally Posted by Fuele View Post
Okay so 2 % of new vehicle sales In CT are for EV vehicles. Does that appear to be a significant amount ? , And along with the estimated 30 % of drivers from out of state that would add revenue, collectively provide enough reason to borrow 300 million dollars to build ugly Gantries and hope and pray that EV sales increase to justify it?

Not to mention the added tax burden on state residents.
Yea, 2% for last year. It's a hedge for when that amount almost certainly continues going up.

Now if you're asking about what my personal opinion on this is, then it's that the tolls should have a majority of its revenue shunted towards improving mass transit. The SLE should have electric rolling stock, there are various infill stations for several lines that should be built, there are extensions that are proposed and unfunded, off-peak frequency could be increased, bus transit should be better funded, and there should be more grade separation and line straightening.
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Old 06-27-2019, 10:51 AM
 
996 posts, read 378,864 times
Reputation: 453
Quote:
Originally Posted by OyCrumbler View Post
Yea, 2% for last year. It's a hedge for when that amount almost certainly continues going up.

Now if you're asking about what my personal opinion on this is, then it's that the tolls should have a majority of its revenue shunted towards improving mass transit. The SLE should have electric rolling stock, there are various infill stations for several lines that should be built, there are extensions that are proposed and unfunded, off-peak frequency could be increased, bus transit should be better funded, and there should be more grade separation and line straightening.
The problem is that Mass transit constantly loses money, and it can't serve everyone A gas tax is immediate can be adjusted, and does not need several hundred million dollars invested.

Anytime the Government tries to build something , the cost is almost always much higher than the original projection.

A very good friend of mine just retired after 40 years on Metro North. You don't want to know what I have learned from him. He was not a Coach Cleaner .
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Old 06-27-2019, 11:02 AM
 
Location: Danbury CT covering all of Fairfield County
2,636 posts, read 7,430,245 times
Reputation: 1378
I saw a video online that the non-incumbent candidate for mayor of Danbury will order a traffic study with the first 90 days of being elected. He says the city has doesn't done one since the 1980's, when Danbury was much smaller. I can think of several intersections that need to be adjusted-either no dedicated left arrow, the arrow to turn is too short, others needed to be realigned if possible.
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Old 06-27-2019, 11:12 AM
 
996 posts, read 378,864 times
Reputation: 453
Update. If Tolls are put in, now Lamont wants to share your info .

https://fox61.com/2019/05/14/gov-neg...-other-states/
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Old 06-27-2019, 11:31 AM
 
Location: Connecticut
34,924 posts, read 56,924,455 times
Reputation: 11220
Quote:
Originally Posted by Fuele View Post
I pass the state border every day on an interstate highway, I will look for the cameras filming license plates. If you know where they are, let me know.

Yes, just raise the gas tax and forget about borrowing money to build ugly Toll gantries .
So you want Connecticut taxpayers to continue paying entirely for our highways and letting out of state drivers use our roads for free? Are you even a Connecticut resident? Do you buy gas here? Do you really want to pay an additional 10 to 25 cents a gallon or more? I don’t and I doubt many taxpayers do either.

Also the state does not do these surveys every day and they don’t do them just at the state borders. Jay
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