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Old 04-06-2020, 11:29 AM
 
5,429 posts, read 4,455,055 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jiping View Post
https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections

There has been major update to the model and it looks promising.

Instead of peaking in mid-May, not it shows Texas will peak on April 19, with no Bed or ICU shortage.
Total death will be 2,025.
This is good. I want this nightmare to be over.

 
Old 04-06-2020, 12:54 PM
 
609 posts, read 263,786 times
Reputation: 1712
I still can't get over all these local churches that refuse to close their doors to services.

If your faith requires being inside of a building, it must be a very weak faith.
 
Old 04-06-2020, 01:08 PM
 
28,662 posts, read 18,764,698 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RJ312 View Post
This is good. I want this nightmare to be over.

Reaching the peak only means the current level of shelter-in-place is being effective and should continue until there is a vaccine.
 
Old 04-06-2020, 01:12 PM
 
451 posts, read 319,783 times
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Note: Social Distancing is still in effect until 4/30.

Amen and if we stay our course on 'social distancing', this first wave should be done with, faster than what we had expected or were preparing for, a week or 2 ago.

Although some industries like restaurants, airline will take time to recover, I do see a U-recovery and US will lead the global recovery in fairly quicker time than what was being anticipated a week or 2 ago.

I have to give credit to the WH Task force (especially Dr. Fauci and Dr. Birx) and to some extent our VP/President and all the local governments, in how this response all came together. It is an indication of how a true democracy works - with total transparency and with occasional squabbles. However, at the end of the day, it is the result that matters. I am still predicting for the number of deaths to stay in the 25,000 to 50,000 for the current wave.

Quote:
Originally Posted by RJ312 View Post
This is good. I want this nightmare to be over.
 
Old 04-06-2020, 01:15 PM
 
5,429 posts, read 4,455,055 times
Reputation: 7268
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ralph_Kirk View Post
Reaching the peak only means the current level of shelter-in-place is being effective and should continue until there is a vaccine.
Most of us are not rich enough to wait for that to happen. We need an economy before that can happen.
 
Old 04-06-2020, 01:51 PM
 
15,523 posts, read 10,489,155 times
Reputation: 15807
[quote=Ralph_Kirk;57774334]Reaching the peak only means the current level of shelter-in-place is being effective and should continue until there is a vaccine.[/QUOTE]

No way.
 
Old 04-06-2020, 01:52 PM
 
451 posts, read 319,783 times
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Hang in there. I think, we will be back in business on May 1 - however with social distancing measures and new guidelines in place, on how we conduct our businesses and work.

Though, our choices will never be same, here on, forward - including deciding on whether we manufacture critical medical supplies here within US, or outsrouce them to foreign entities. The way, I see it, it is looking like we are going to dodge a bullet this time. Hopefully, we have learnt our lessons and prompt our lawmakers to do more on the healthcare side of things. We really need to re-visit our overall healthcare system in a big way. And I am not talking just insurance coverage here - a 100% health coverage does not help if the system cannot handle peaks. This pandemic has shown that the resources could be shared within a state, efficiencies could be built within the system with an objective to get the overall cost to the end consumer down. I request you all to follow this thread on this topic - https://www.city-data.com/forum/grea...gn-entity.html

Quote:
Originally Posted by RJ312 View Post
Most of us are not rich enough to wait for that to happen. We need an economy before that can happen.

Last edited by CDContribuitor; 04-06-2020 at 02:13 PM..
 
Old 04-06-2020, 01:57 PM
 
13,194 posts, read 28,282,852 times
Reputation: 13142
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ralph_Kirk View Post
Reaching the peak only means the current level of shelter-in-place is being effective and should continue until there is a vaccine.
I don’t think it’s realistic to shelter in place until 2021...
 
Old 04-06-2020, 02:04 PM
 
13,194 posts, read 28,282,852 times
Reputation: 13142
Quote:
Originally Posted by CDContribuitor View Post
Hang in there. I think, we will be back in business on May 1 - however with social distancing measures and new guidelines in place, on how we conduct our businesses and work.
I don’t think May 1st is realistic. It’s not like you hit peak and two days later, we’re all back at work. Everything I’ve heard from the experts (Dr Fauci & others) in tv interviews is that pandemics are bell-shaped curves and we still have to get most of the way down the back side of the hill before we safely open back up for business. So if Dallas has been sheltering in place since March 23 and our (Texas) peak is expected around April 19th, we’ll still be sheltering in place for another 3-4 weeks after that to let this wave run it’s course. So sometime between May 10-15th??
 
Old 04-06-2020, 02:08 PM
 
451 posts, read 319,783 times
Reputation: 415
Agree. However, it was looking much different a couple of weeks ago. I think, there would be guidance on which industries could open on May 1st, May 15th and so on, with refined guidelines on social distancing measures.

Quote:
Originally Posted by TurtleCreek80 View Post
I don’t think May 1st is realistic. It’s not like you hit peak and two days later, we’re all back at work. Everything I’ve heard from the experts (Dr Fauci & others) in tv interviews is that pandemics are bell-shaped curves and we still have to get most of the way down the back side of the hill before we safely open back up for business. So if Dallas has been sheltering in place since March 23 and our (Texas) peak is expected around April 19th, we’ll still be sheltering in place for another 3-4 weeks after that to let this wave run it’s course. So sometime between May 10-15th??
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