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good news. So even if Hillary wins she will be massively kept in check
She was going to be kept in check by the House of Representatives. Modern computer algorithms combined with a wave of 2010 Republican electoral victories at the state level have led to some pretty effective gerrymandering that pretty much guaranteed Republican control of the lower house of Congress for the entire decade.
The Republicans keeping their grip on the Senate means that the Democrats can't "go nuclear" with regard to Supreme Court nominations. We may wind up with a Supreme Court with only seven or six justices in the next four years. Aside from that, the Senate rules of filibuster combined with the near impossibility of the Democrats reaching a 60 seat majority mean that the Republicans will always have some form of a brake upon any Democratic President.
I think that Trump is making a fatal error in spending too much time in Michigan and Pennsylvania. He won't be able to win those states.
That time and resources would be better spent in Florida, North Carolina, New Hampshire, Colorado and Nevada. Trump doesn't need either Pennsylvania or Michigan to possibly reach 270. New Hampshire and Maine CD2 would get him to 270 along with those other must win states that he has had a lead in!
So -- I guess you think that Hillary & Bill Clinton + Barack & Michelle Obama are in Michigan fighting for their lives, because they have nothing better to do? In a long time Solid Blue State?
I prefer to think that the Trump Organization knows what they are doing. They are sowing PANIC in the DNC.
Yeah I don't see anything for Dems to be excited about in thise 3 states, but the usual leftist rags like HuffPost and Slate are putting sone major brainwashing spin on the numbers and their lemmings are falling for it.
It's because if you actually looked at the stats on where the votes are being cast you would understand. The democratic strongholds are up considerably over 4 years ago.
There were a lot of democrats who voted republican in Florida 4 years ago especially in the Northern FL/Panhandle area. These people have flipped their registration.
The new Hispanic voters are the story, there are now over 100k new first time hispanic voters who have voted. Obama only won Florida by 100k 4 years ago, if you want to win by more then it's all about first time voters who are unlikely voters, both for D's and R's.
Also Southern Florida is going to burst thru 2012 turnout and may eclipse 2008. This is a democratic stronghold, there are just not enough small heavily leaning counties in Farmland Florida who vote 65 to 35 republican to counter this.
It's because if you actually looked at the stats on where the votes are being cast you would understand. The democratic strongholds are up considerably over 4 years ago.
There were a lot of democrats who voted republican in Florida 4 years ago especially in the Northern FL/Panhandle area. These people have flipped their registration.
The new Hispanic voters are the story, there are now over 100k new first time hispanic voters who have voted. Obama only won Florida by 100k 4 years ago, if you want to win by more then it's all about first time voters who are unlikely voters, both for D's and R's.
Also Southern Florida is going to burst thru 2012 turnout and may eclipse 2008. This is a democratic stronghold, there are just not enough small heavily leaning counties in Farmland Florida who vote 65 to 35 republican to counter this.
You would think with all these new voters the early vote lead would be even bigger than in 2012. Looks to me the race there is still up for grabs
Battleground State Predictions From Experts from those states
Arizona (Barbara Norrander, University of Arizona)
Election: Trump-48, Clinton-46, Johnson-5
Headline: Recreational Marijuana Initiative Too Close to Call
Georgia (Charles Bullock, University of Georgia)
Election: Trump-51, Clinton-46, Johnson-4
Headline: Isakson Avoids Runoff
Iowa (Timothy Hagle, University of Iowa)
Election: Trump-47. Clinton-43, Johnson-5, Other-5
Headline: Grassley Wins Big Over Judge
Maine 2nd CD (Andrew Rudalevige, Bowdoin College)
Election: Trump-46, Clinton-45, Johnson-8, Stein-1
Headline: Five Liberal Ballot Questions Sweep to Victory; Governor Pledges to Derail Their Implementation
Michigan (Marjorie Starbaugh-Thompson, Wayne State University)
Election: Clinton-48, Trump-44, Johnson-6, Stein-2
Headline: Democrats Regain Slim Majority in Michigan House, Squeak Out Victories in 1st and 7th U.S. House Districts
Nebraska 2nd CD (Paul Landow, University of Nebraska-Omaha)
Election: Clinton-48, Trump-47, Johnson-5
Nevada (David Damore, University of Nevada, Las Vegas)
Election: Clinton-49, Trump-42, Johnson-5, None of the above-4
Headline: Dems Sweep Key Races in Nevada
New Hampshire (Dante Scala, University of New Hampshire)
Election: Clinton-49, Trump-43
Headline: Ayotte Loses, Dems Sweep Top of Ticket
Pennsylvania (Terry Madonna, Franklin Marshall College)
Election: Clinton-47, Trump-44
Utah (Kelly Patterson, Brigham Young University)
Election: Trump-35, McMillin-28, Clinton-27
Headline: Down-Ballot Republicans Thrive Despite Weak Top of Ticket
Virginia (Mark Rozell, George Mason University)
Election: Clinton-49, Trump-46, Johnson-4, Stein/Others-1
Headline: Women, Minorities Propel Clinton Victory
Wisconsin (Dennis Dresang, University of Wisconsin)
Election: Clinton-50, Trump-44, Johnson-5, Stein-1
Headline: “Outside Money Turns Senate Election into a Squeaker”
She was going to be kept in check by the House of Representatives. Modern computer algorithms combined with a wave of 2010 Republican electoral victories at the state level have led to some pretty effective gerrymandering that pretty much guaranteed Republican control of the lower house of Congress for the entire decade.
The Republicans keeping their grip on the Senate means that the Democrats can't "go nuclear" with regard to Supreme Court nominations. We may wind up with a Supreme Court with only seven or six justices in the next four years. Aside from that, the Senate rules of filibuster combined with the near impossibility of the Democrats reaching a 60 seat majority mean that the Republicans will always have some form of a brake upon any Democratic President.
Which will pollute politics for the next 50 years, do you want that? Every time for is a flip?
If you loose you loose, do it better next time.
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