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Old 11-03-2016, 12:17 AM
 
4,583 posts, read 3,410,946 times
Reputation: 2605

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Quote:
Originally Posted by phma View Post
State run media says crooked Hillary and Trump are neck in neck.

Liberals then claim they are necking.

Somehow they make that connection.

I would require photo evidence before buying that connection.
I recall back in 2012 that Nate Silver had models showing Obama could be down 2% nationally and still get to 270. I won' t think that Trump has it in the bag until he is +3% nationally.

 
Old 11-03-2016, 12:23 AM
 
11,181 posts, read 10,537,988 times
Reputation: 18618
I'm always baffled that so many posts in this thread leave out the only 2 words that matter: electoral, majority.
 
Old 11-03-2016, 12:30 AM
 
Location: Bay Area
31 posts, read 17,897 times
Reputation: 51
Quote:
Originally Posted by At-Chilles View Post
I was stationed at Quantico many years ago as a US Marine.... and some of you are forgetting that Virginia has both a huge retired and active duty military population that will almost entirely be voting for Trump.


I'd be careful about being overly confident Virginia is in the bag for Hillary.
Would those be the same retired and active duty military personnel who swept Romney to victory in Virginia 4 years ago?

Oh - oops! Forgot, Romney lost Virginia last time too.
 
Old 11-03-2016, 01:58 AM
 
Location: Phoenix
3,211 posts, read 2,245,076 times
Reputation: 2607
Quote:
Originally Posted by armourereric View Post
I recall back in 2012 that Nate Silver had models showing Obama could be down 2% nationally and still get to 270. I won' t think that Trump has it in the bag until he is +3% nationally.
Possibly not but keep in mind SIlver has calculated Hillary would have a 0.3 chance of winning if she loses the popular vote while Trump has a 9.3% of winning while losing the popular vote.
 
Old 11-03-2016, 02:55 AM
 
Location: Los Angeles
2,914 posts, read 2,690,115 times
Reputation: 2450
I don't believe any of these polls.

It's pointless to vote for Trump in California because Cali is a blue state but I made my statement vote for Trump last week.
 
Old 11-03-2016, 03:10 AM
bUU
 
Location: Florida
12,074 posts, read 10,711,454 times
Reputation: 8798
RCP Average

Colorado Clinton +1.7
Florida Trump +0.7
Nevada Trump +1.6
North Carolina Tie
Ohio Trump +3.3
Pennsylvania Clinton +4.9
Virginia Clinton +4.7

Electoral Votes

Clinton/Kaine 273
Trump/Pence 265
 
Old 11-03-2016, 03:51 AM
 
Location: Swiftwater, PA
18,773 posts, read 18,154,352 times
Reputation: 14783
Quote:
Originally Posted by bUU View Post
RCP Average

Colorado Clinton +1.7
Florida Trump +0.7
Nevada Trump +1.6
North Carolina Tie
Ohio Trump +3.3
Pennsylvania Clinton +4.9
Virginia Clinton +4.7

Electoral Votes

Clinton/Kaine 273
Trump/Pence 265
Bets are now on Trump: Almost All Last-Minute Bets Are for Trump, Paddy Power Says - Bloomberg.
 
Old 11-03-2016, 06:54 AM
 
17,347 posts, read 11,293,931 times
Reputation: 41015
Quote:
Originally Posted by twinkie409 View Post
The election comes down to the black vote. If the numbers are like 2012 Clinton wins. if the vote is low trump wins. Most states are so close it'll come down to a few votes
If that's remotely true, then Clinton loses. She has no where near the support and enthusiasm among Blacks that Obama had for obvious reasons.
 
Old 11-03-2016, 06:55 AM
mlb
 
Location: North Monterey County
4,971 posts, read 4,453,874 times
Reputation: 7903
Read it and weep, Trumpettes:

http://www.nytimes.com/2016/11/03/op...f=opinion&_r=0
 
Old 11-03-2016, 07:02 AM
 
3,841 posts, read 1,980,547 times
Reputation: 1906
Quote:
Originally Posted by mlb View Post
I read it. I did not weep. A NY Times OPINION piece will not make me weep. At least the article did its job, stopped the NY Times snowflakes from coming unhinged like their candidate has the last few days. A few more safe space days left!
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