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One other factor to consider that's received little attention so far is the Jewish vote in South Florida. Clinton is doing a bit better among this demographic than Obama did in 2012. The Jewish population makes up 28% of the Non-Hispanic White population of the Miami MSA.
Democrats can only do so well with Florida Jewish votes, former New Yorker's. They always vote one way, liberal. Nothing new and exciting about this. It's well known and expected.
Latest Florida is
Quinnipiac - Clinton 46, Trump 45
CNN - Clinton 50, Trump 49
SurveyMonkey - Clinton 46, Trump 45
UPI/Voter - Clinton 48, Trump 47
So you see, 1 or 2 percent doesn't mean much right now if it's in Clinton's favor. Momentum is in Trump's favor. He'll probably be up again in FL by 2-3 percent when it's over, just like he was a couple of weeks ago. Nice try though.
Democrats can only do so well with Florida Jewish votes, former New Yorker's. They always vote one way, liberal. Nothing new and exciting about this. It's well known and expected.
Latest Florida is
Quinnipiac - Clinton 46, Trump 45
CNN - Clinton 50, Trump 49
SurveyMonkey - Clinton 46, Trump 45
UPI/Voter - Clinton 48, Trump 47
So you see, 1 or 2 percent doesn't mean much right now if it's in Clinton's favor. Momentum is in Trump's favor. He'll probably be up again in FL by 2-3 percent when it's over, just like he was a couple of weeks ago. Nice try though.
I guess you're just going to ignore the last 3 Florida-specific polls. Some more interesting data though...
-Women have cast about 500,000 more votes than men in Florida thus far.
-31% of Hispanic voters in Osceola County had no prior voting history; 32% in Polk and 29% in Orange.
-We are probably looking at an electorate in Florida that is 34-35% Non-White. In 2008, it was 29% Non-White.
Back to reality. Clinton loses another 1% since yesterday nationally according to Polltracker. Her numbers continuing to drop with the election 5 days away.
Clinton 45.9
Trump 43.9
Polltracker just updated again. Clinton lost another .4% nationally.
I guess you're just going to ignore the last 3 Florida-specific polls. Some more interesting data though...
-Women have cast about 500,000 more votes than men in Florida thus far.
-31% of Hispanic voters in Osceola County had no prior voting history; 32% in Polk and 29% in Orange.
-We are probably looking at an electorate in Florida that is 34-35% Non-White. In 2008, it was 29% Non-White.
Thanks for providing all of this Florida data for us, interesting stuff.
A little more concerning my previous post about private GOP and DNC polling, and how, if Mr. Trump were doing so well in said polls, more Republicans would be jumping on his bandwagon.
Republican Pat Toomey of Pennsylvania, up for re-election, simply refuses to say if he will vote for Donald John Trump. Senator Toomey obviously does not think that supporting Mr. Trump would be beneficial to his campaign.
He is apparently significantly down in the latest poll, which he described as 'worthless'.
The last 3 New Hampshire polls on RCP (all post FBI) have Trump up an average of 3%.
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