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Status:
"everybody getting reported now.."
(set 27 days ago)
Location: Pine Grove,AL
29,573 posts, read 16,560,540 times
Reputation: 6044
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Quote:
Originally Posted by nononsenseguy
I don't think the Democrats have done anything to deserve control of either House. They haven't changed their "stripes" in 18 months. They are the same as they were when we elected Donald Trump.
And obliviously I believe the same of Republicans
Quote:
I know a few people in this "prediction" business who are predicting a "red wave," not a "blue wave." Remember, all the polls said Hillary was going to win by a landslide, and Trump didn't stand a chance!
I can never tell if people like you are being sarcastic or if you genuinely don't understand how polls work
not if you go back and look at 2010 and2014 for starters. It is a no brainer the party out of office usually picks up several seats but to think they will pick up 60 is based on not much. Also read some of the other articles written by the author and remember this appeared in the Hill and I don't care if it was from a Drudge report or from a report in China. it is very unlikely it will happen.
60 pick ups for the Democrats isn’t out of the question. I’m thinking they will pick around 40 to 50.
Here’s a link to an interesting article from Axios:
Internal polling by the RNC showed at 57% of Trump supporters don’t believe the Dems can take the House. Conversely, Nate Silver rates the D’s chances at 74% to 83%, depending on the model. That complacency freaks the R pols.
They want to panic their supporters to ensure that they turn out.
Drudge is trying to motivate republican voters to get out to vote, he doesn't think the Dems are going to win 60 seats. It is the same as when Michael Moore says that Trump will be a two term president. They both are trying to scare their followers to get out and vote.
I think it is reasonable to assume that the Democrats will be taking back the house. They have a very narrow shot at the senate, but not impossible
Also, the financial collapse was due to Alan Greenspans policies and advisement. The credit default swap issue dated back to Clinton and a GOP congress who both supported Greenspan's position of a hands off approach. Bush maintained that policy for 8 years. We knew it was a problem when LTCM went under in 1998. It was a bipartisan screw up, they traded long term financial health for short term gains. Kind of like we are doing now in trading tax cuts for massive debt and higher interest rates.
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