Welcome to City-Data.com Forum!
U.S. CitiesCity-Data Forum Index
Go Back   City-Data Forum > General Forums > Real Estate > Foreclosures, Short Sales, and REOs
 [Register]
Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
View detailed profile (Advanced) or search
site with Google Custom Search

Search Forums  (Advanced)
Reply Start New Thread
 
Old 06-05-2008, 10:17 AM
 
Location: Raleigh, NC
9,059 posts, read 12,972,786 times
Reputation: 1401

Advertisements

More than a million homes in foreclosure in latest report - Jun. 5, 2008

Sigh...likely fodder for for more government intervention. Just prolongs the pain and the inevitable market re-alignments.

Would be nicer if young singles or young couples could just get these houses for 30 cents on the dollar and restore the neighborhoods quicker rather than letting the houses literally fall apart, but then again that would be too easy, wouldn't it?

Oh well, I guess a free market is too much to ask for those with their panties in a bunch about "comps".
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message

 
Old 06-05-2008, 11:02 AM
 
Location: Hernando County, FL
8,489 posts, read 20,648,553 times
Reputation: 5397
I guess my definition of a free market is quite different from yours.

You want the banks to sell their foreclosures for 30 cents on the dollar when they can get 75-80 cents on the dollar right now?
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 06-05-2008, 11:25 AM
 
Location: Broward County
2,517 posts, read 11,053,741 times
Reputation: 1391
things are only going to get worse....especially in Florida. Guaranteed.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 06-05-2008, 11:29 AM
 
Location: Raleigh, NC
9,059 posts, read 12,972,786 times
Reputation: 1401
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mike Peterson View Post
I guess my definition of a free market is quite different from yours.

You want the banks to sell their foreclosures for 30 cents on the dollar when they can get 75-80 cents on the dollar right now?
They can get 75 to 80 cents on the dollar? Maybe that's why the sheer number of REO properties is through the roof. Oh, and places like Ft. Myers and Sacramento cannot unload properties at auction for even 50% off.

Mr. Troll (er, Toll) is suggesting the gubmint offer MORE tax benefits to homeowners only. Interesting that a supposed leader in the free market is asking the government for help. I'm also shocked that supposedly the existing subsidies are still leaving homeowners broke. Then the absurd suggestion that the gubmint offer a 10% "gift" to new homebuyers in a $300B bill up for suggestion (the Barney Frank bill).

Actually, the article you saw showing 75-80%, was that related to the $1.7 trillion loss in phoney home equity "wealth" since 2002?

Household net worth drops by $1.7 trillion - Jun. 5, 2008
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 06-05-2008, 11:49 AM
 
Location: Hernando County, FL
8,489 posts, read 20,648,553 times
Reputation: 5397
Quote:
Originally Posted by ViewFromThePeak View Post
They can get 75 to 80 cents on the dollar? Maybe that's why the sheer number of REO properties is through the roof. Oh, and places like Ft. Myers and Sacramento cannot unload properties at auction for even 50% off.

Mr. Troll (er, Toll) is suggesting the gubmint offer MORE tax benefits to homeowners only. Interesting that a supposed leader in the free market is asking the government for help. I'm also shocked that supposedly the existing subsidies are still leaving homeowners broke. Then the absurd suggestion that the gubmint offer a 10% "gift" to new homebuyers in a $300B bill up for suggestion (the Barney Frank bill).

Actually, the article you saw showing 75-80%, was that related to the $1.7 trillion loss in phoney home equity "wealth" since 2002?

Household net worth drops by $1.7 trillion - Jun. 5, 2008
I wasn't going off an article. I was going off what foeclosures are selling for quickly in my area.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 06-05-2008, 11:50 AM
 
Location: Hernando County, FL
8,489 posts, read 20,648,553 times
Reputation: 5397
Quote:
Originally Posted by heydade View Post
things are only going to get worse....especially in Florida. Guaranteed.
You can not compare what is going on in Miami to all parts of the state.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 06-05-2008, 12:16 PM
 
Location: Raleigh, NC
9,059 posts, read 12,972,786 times
Reputation: 1401
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mike Peterson View Post
I wasn't going off an article. I was going off what foeclosures are selling for quickly in my area.
That's fine. Here in Raleigh, things are looking pretty ok for now in terms of prices. What locals don't realize is that inventory is up BIG TIME (30% YoY), and jumped by nearly 5% in one week alone.

Price is a latent figure to inventory. How's inventory doing YoY in your area?
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 06-05-2008, 12:49 PM
 
Location: Hernando County, FL
8,489 posts, read 20,648,553 times
Reputation: 5397
Quote:
Originally Posted by ViewFromThePeak View Post
That's fine. Here in Raleigh, things are looking pretty ok for now in terms of prices. What locals don't realize is that inventory is up BIG TIME (30% YoY), and jumped by nearly 5% in one week alone.

Price is a latent figure to inventory. How's inventory doing YoY in your area?
Inventory is down 13% since the beginning of the year.
Inventory reached it peak about Oct or Nov last year and styed at that level a few months.
YoY it is down about 6-7%
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 06-05-2008, 12:58 PM
 
9,848 posts, read 30,289,282 times
Reputation: 10516
Quote:
Originally Posted by ViewFromThePeak View Post
That's fine. Here in Raleigh, things are looking pretty ok for now in terms of prices. What locals don't realize is that inventory is up BIG TIME (30% YoY), and jumped by nearly 5% in one week alone.

Price is a latent figure to inventory. How's inventory doing YoY in your area?
In my area of Raleigh in my price range ($140K - $165K) there is Zero inventory. I don't see houses going for 30 cents on the dollar in my neighborhood anytime soon. Even the one foreclosure we had this year sold at full market price and kept in line with recent comps. Not a steal by any means. The homes in my development are already pretty affordable for young couples so I found it a great place to buy. I can't speak for the more expensive neighborhoods in the area but then again I also don't pay attention to price reductions on the Jaguar lot either since I am in the market for a Toyota.

FWIW, if houses ever did reach the point of going for 30 cents on the dollar here do you really think they would just sit around on the open market waiting for a young couple to come along buy them? A more likely scenario is an old rich investor would swoop in and purchase these discounted houses long before that young couple ever showed up to make their offer. It would be nice if the market worked that way and everybody got a deal, but it sounds more like wishful thinking to me.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 06-05-2008, 01:11 PM
 
Location: Raleigh, NC
9,059 posts, read 12,972,786 times
Reputation: 1401
Quote:
Originally Posted by North_Raleigh_Guy View Post
In my area of Raleigh in my price range ($140K - $165K) there is Zero inventory. I don't see houses going for 30 cents on the dollar in my neighborhood anytime soon. Even the one foreclosure we had this year sold at full market price and kept in line with recent comps. Not a steal by any means. The homes in my development are already pretty affordable for young couples so I found it a great place to buy. I can't speak for the more expensive neighborhoods in the area but then again I also don't pay attention to price reductions on the Jaguar lot either since I am in the market for a Toyota.

FWIW, if houses ever did reach the point of going for 30 cents on the dollar here do you really think they would just sit around on the open market waiting for a young couple to come along buy them? A more likely scenario is an old rich investor would swoop in and purchase these discounted houses long before that young couple ever showed up to make their offer. It would be nice if the market worked that way and everybody got a deal, but it sounds more like wishful thinking to me.
Right. I wasn't suggesting that prices would reach 30 cents on the dollar uniformly throughout the counry. I do anticipate with the 12K houses available in the triangle, however, that 60-80 cents on the dollar (compred to today's "comps") is probably in the cards. It'll take time for the latent effect of dwindled transplant "equity refugee" money to dry up. Coupled with increasing interest rates and higher utility bills and a reduction in RTP workforce as a latent effect on the shrinking of the finance and services sector, just about everyone will be downsizing. So, what I'm thinking is that 60 cents on the dollar for the Holly Springs/F-V/Cary/NW Raleigh McMansions as well as overpriced Glenwood South/ITB inventory and the depressed SE Raleigh/Clayton/Garner area, and 80 cents on the dollar for lower priced, high value homes in the N. Raleigh/Apex/Cary area. I'm picturing that you're up by Millbrook/Six Forks/Falls, around where I'm at. I would imagine you're in better shape than most.

The figures about the triangle area do not lie. There are going to be pockets of less hit areas than most, but the 30% increase is not concentrated in SE Raleigh like some would like to believe. The inventory rise is spread out.

Also, keep in mind this is in nominal values. Since consumer prices are rising substantially, the real inflation adjusted drop will be much, much more severe. You could see up to 90 (yes that's 9-0) percent drop in REAL terms, adjusted for CPI in certain parts of CA/FL.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
Please register to post and access all features of our very popular forum. It is free and quick. Over $68,000 in prizes has already been given out to active posters on our forum. Additional giveaways are planned.

Detailed information about all U.S. cities, counties, and zip codes on our site: City-data.com.


Reply
Please update this thread with any new information or opinions. This open thread is still read by thousands of people, so we encourage all additional points of view.

Quick Reply
Message:

Over $104,000 in prizes was already given out to active posters on our forum and additional giveaways are planned!

Go Back   City-Data Forum > General Forums > Real Estate > Foreclosures, Short Sales, and REOs
Similar Threads

All times are GMT -6.

© 2005-2024, Advameg, Inc. · Please obey Forum Rules · Terms of Use and Privacy Policy · Bug Bounty

City-Data.com - Contact Us - Archive 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37 - Top