10Sept18 12pEDT
***Note upgrade since the 11am advisory** Winds 130mph(195km/h), moving W 13mph(20km/h), pressure 946mb.
Cat4 hurricane now. Rapidly intensifying.
Changes:
-
Hurricane Watch is expected (**not up yet**) to be issued
Tuesdayfor portions of the SC and NC coast. (Watches/Warnings are time based issued so Watch would signal 48hours or less until Hurricane Force winds (74+mph) are possible, it will change to a warning around the 24hour or so to go mark. This also means Tropical Storm Watches will likely be issued to either side of the Hurricane Watch).
-
Storm Surge Watch is expected (**not up yet**) to be issued
Tuesday for portions of SC, NC and/or southeast VA coast. Again time based issued so this will eventually change to a warning somewhere along the coast later this week. Details of what/where to be worked out still. This also means
official Florence storm surge maps will start to be issued Tuesday. These come out about 30-90 minutes AFTER the 5 & 11 am/pm updates once storm surge Watch/Warnings are issued so be aware of that!
As of now no Watches/Warnings posted, this will change Tuesday again because they are based on time until event start.
Cone map (the cone is where the center/eye of the storm could go in time so from near Charleston SC to near Hatteras is still in play, but yes several models have been focusing more towards the SC/NC border region), effects from the storm are felt well outside this point:
Just a note for those leaving the coast that want to go inland that do be aware inland flooding will be a concern somewhere between the coast and the Appalachian mountains with this, not everywhere but somewhere, but details of where to be worked out still (track dependent), but where ever you go look at your surroundings and try to make sure you would be ok if a lot of rain came through (ie: campground or hotel about a foot above current river height beside you...probably consider somewhere else just in case, etc). Can use google maps to help determine if you're near a river or not since trees may hide them.
Key messages from NHC:
"Key Messages:
1. A life-threatening storm surge is likely along portions of the
coastlines of South Carolina, North Carolina, and Virginia, and
a Storm Surge Watch will likely be issued for some of these areas by
Tuesday morning. All interests from South Carolina into the
mid-Atlantic region should ensure they have their hurricane plan in
place and follow any advice given by local officials.
2. Life-threatening freshwater flooding is likely from a prolonged
and exceptionally heavy rainfall event, which may extend inland over
the Carolinas and Mid Atlantic for hundreds of miles as Florence is
expected to slow down as it approaches the coast and moves inland.
3. Damaging hurricane-force winds are likely along portions of the
coasts of South Carolina and North Carolina, and a Hurricane Watch
will likely be issued by Tuesday morning. Damaging winds could also
spread well inland into portions of the Carolinas and Virginia.
4. Large swells affecting Bermuda and portions of the U.S. East
Coast will continue this week, resulting in life-threatening surf"
Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
