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Just some extra info...High Pressure near SE US steering storm to the NW and eventually N. This keeps it away from FL peninsula. No big surprises expected overnight, disorganized but slowly and steadily strengthening storm. More rapid intensification will be possible and currently likely between Cuba and US Gulf coast. Hurricane, TS and Storm Surge Watches go up soon for the Gulf coast, time based so that's expected.
Keep in mind average intensity forecast error is 10-20mph, and avg error in forecast position 3 days out is 120miles, although higher confidence in track this time due to model consensus. Again just avg's.
After landfall models suggest remnants head through TN valley and through Appalachians and off US mid-Atlantic to NE coast. There has been occasional model blip of a piece of it breaking off and reforming off the Carolina coast breifly, but that's far out for now to dive into more for the moment.
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