Quote:
Originally Posted by serger
So again, the same absurd claim, that the health care spending per capita will miraculously jump from the current severely high 10-11k per year to 20k per year.
Let me try one more time to help using non-faux math:
Current medicare spending - about 700 billion a year, covering 15% of the population. Current children's percentage of the population about 25%, their healthcare costs are about 1/5 per capita of that of a medicare beneficiary. Adult working population - about 60%, at 1/3 per capita of the cost.
So to cover everybody:
700 billion x (0.25/5 + 0.6/3 + 0.15)/0.15 = 1.87 trillion per year
Now, to be fair, I think that aged population also uses about 100 billion annually in medicaid, so you can multiply by 800 billion instead - total of about 2.13 trillion a year. Lastly, the total current out of pocket is about 350 billion a year. So if you just keep that, it is about 2.5 trillion grand total.
Obviously, these numbers are rough estimates, but should give an idea how much off you are. Current total HC spending is about 3.5 trillion annually.
Obviously, to fund expanded Medicare, new taxes would be needed, currently Medicare is funded via payroll taxes. There is no free lunch.
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how about address the cost issue...…………..hmmmmm
in
1965 they said
medicare would only cost 12 billion by 1990, it cost 3 billion to implement it in 1966
in 1990
medicare cost 107 billion
in 2000
medicare was 216 billion
in 2008
medicare was 456 billion
in
2016 medicare was 691 billion
what is even more interesting is what the predicted outlays will be in the future
in
2016 medicare was 691 billion
prediction for 2020....963 billion
prediction for 2026....1.383 Trillion
lets now add in Medicaid
Medicaid:
2000.....117 billion
2008.....201 billion
2016.....368 billion
actual Medicaid
2016.....368 billion
prediction for 2020....450 billion
prediction for 2026....616 Billion
so the prediction is
medicare and Medicaid is expected to be over 2 trillion dollars is less than 8 years
that's just the GOVERNMENT costs of Medicare and Medicaid... and medicare/Medicaid covers less than
1/6 of our population..
our current budget is about 4 trillion, with revenue of about 3 trillion...….
....where do you think the MAGIC MONEY is going to appear from
number of americans in full pledged
nursing homes: 2.5 million...... the average cost Adult Day Health Care,.20,000 per year......assisted living facility 45,000 per year....nursing home (semi-private room),.85,000 per year.......nursing home (private room),.96,000
number of americans in all levels of
nursing homes and assisted living....12 million (Annually 11,995,100 people receive support from the 5 main long-term care service; home health agencies (5,742,500),
nursing homes (2,383,700), hospices (1,544,500), residential care communities (913,300) and adult day service centers (373,200)...............total cost of long term care 590 billion annually...and going up every year
https://www.genworth.com/corporate/a...t-of-care.html
will nursing homes be covered under a singlepayer...or would that massive expense be classified as ''not covered'' as it is with medicare?? or is that nearly trillion dollar bill right back on the peoples back??
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More than 26 million Americans have significant vision loss.((a total of 85 million Americans have potentially blinding eye diseases. )) (((hmmm more than 26 million americans are blind or going blind.....that's more than Norway, Finland, Denmark, Switzerland, and Austria COMBINED TOTAL population....)))......The cost of vision loss, including direct costs and lost productivity, is estimated to exceed $181 billion in 2019
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number of americans with heart disease: 29.2 million and of those..((Number of visits with heart disease as primary diagnosis: 17 million ))((Number of discharges with heart disease as first-listed diagnosis: 4.9 million)).....900,000 people in the USA die from heart disease annually....the cost 690 billion annually
will cardiac care be covered under a singlepayer...or would that massive expense be classified as ''not covered'' or "sorry you smoke, or eat too much" not covered?? that is the cost of CARE... again has nothing to do with insurance
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number of Americans with diabetes
below the age of 60: 31 million....total cost 395 billion per year, and rising.....
will the ''government single-payer'' say.... nope, you got diabetes, because you are FAT, sorry not covered??
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Obesity rates among ALL OECD nations increased in recent years, with the highest rate in the U.S. at 37.3% -- which means one in 3 Americans is by definition obese.----400 billion per year
year
New Data Shows Obesity Costs Will Grow to $480 Billion by 2020 | Partnership to Fight Chronic Disease
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number of Americans getting cancer (new cases) per year 1.9 million for a total of 25 million people being treated (fighting) each year...each year at least 570,000 die from cancer....the cost is over 350 billion. and expected to be 390 billion by 2020
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number of Americans with asthma: 27 million....Each day 11 Americans die from asthma.......annual costs 76 billion per year and increasing
that's over 130 million people with serious health risks..while some may overlap..its still a good one third of the country
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SO HOW ARE YOU GOING TO PAY FOR IT...........................
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so what YOU are saying is we should FORCE doctors and nurse to work for minimum wage. and have offices in huts
when you pay that doctor $100 ,, its not 100 dollars going into his pocket...there are lots of other COSTS
how are you going to control the cost of medical equipment(mri or x-ray machines, etc)??????most xray machines are made in and imported from Denmark
how are you going to control the rising property tax/rent/mortgage that doctors face?????
will the government LOWER property taxes for doctors offices.. the property taxes that fund our schools which say they dont have enough money????
think about that one for a second.... let it sink in....
how are you going to control the cost of supplies(gauze, plaster, silk, rubber, polystyrene( a oil product)?????......especially some supplies that aren't even American, because the globalist liberals have outsourced almost all manufacturing!!!
how are you going to control the cost of the people salaries???? these people with a specialty of medicine...... a maximum wage ??? yeah that's a perfect socialist idea a max wage... bet that will fly
how are you, going to control the employment costs for Doctors, nurses, technicians, hospital food operators, hospital linen cleaning service, custodial services, medical transcribers????.....
...are you going to 'nationalize' every profession that is even remotely connected to medicine????
yeah that's the idea...'nationalize' every profession connected to medicine, then install a max wage....
how are they going to control malpractice INSURANCE COSTS????? …. well Shakespeare did say "kill all the lawyers"
how are you going to control the cost of the rising electric bills the doctors/hospitals are facing????
for example the average hospital uses a lot of electricity...about 450,000 a month...that's over 5 million dollars in electric costs yearly, and in most case to a town government as many utility companies are municipals to the town/city...………..
.........….you are not likely to cut that piece of overhead...………..
so
the GOVERNMENT prediction is
Medicare and Medicaid is expected to be over 2 trillion dollars is less than 8 years..and that is for less than 1/6th of the country (if we were to use medicare costs to average out to the entire country, we are talking 12 trillion by 2026.....so...
..my estimate of a singlepayer (covering 330 million people) is on target with about 6 trillion annually, maybe even estimated a little low