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I don't consider -8c to be noteworthy at all even a high of -8c.
What?! You wouldn't consider a HIGH of -8C to be noteworthy?!? I'm pretty sure it hasn't happened very often, even on the mountain behind your house... The lowest daily maximum temperature record for the WHOLE of Northern Ireland is -11.3C
Quote:
Originally Posted by Summerwhale
I don't think so.
I think we could get a -15c high at a big big push.
No chance. That -11.3C high was during the coldest December ever recorded in Northern Ireland, don't expect to be getting temperatures that low again any time soon...
I have always believed this just anecdotally. However, I was shot down on here for saying it.
By whom?
The correlation coefficient is low and positive, meaning that both areas are slightly more likely record same-sign anomalies that opposite sign ones in the same time.
I hope for a very warm autumn, and turning colder only around Christmas. Statistically speaking, that might just happen.
As the theme for this summer was long-lasting strong weather systems (persistent L in June with cold, persistent H in July with heat, again a strong L in late August and persistent H in September), I think we have a fair chance of seeing both this winter.
Can well be very warm in December but turning much colder around New Year. Would not be surprised to see a below average January here and a cold February in the UK, or vice versa.
I hope for a normal winter. Not slushy and with decent snowfall, but absolutely no January 1987 or anything of the sort. That is just way over the top.
The correlation coefficient is low and positive, meaning that both areas are slightly more likely record same-sign anomalies that opposite sign ones in the same time.
You probably accounted for that, but otherwise I suspect that some of the correlation is from the global average. As in a warmer year globally will introduce a slight boost in temperature everywhere on average.
You probably accounted for that, but otherwise I suspect that some of the correlation is from the global average. As in a warmer year globally will introduce a slight boost in temperature everywhere on average.
Maybe it is the set up of these very warm anomalies in the NE Pacific that caused such opposites last winter. If Europe has another winter like last year, and those sst are still there, we will have a really harsh winter. Jetstream down over us, up over them. Simple as that.
I hope for a very warm autumn, and turning colder only around Christmas. Statistically speaking, that might just happen.
As the theme for this summer was long-lasting strong weather systems (persistent L in June with cold, persistent H in July with heat, again a strong L in late August and persistent H in September), I think we have a fair chance of seeing both this winter.
Can well be very warm in December but turning much colder around New Year. Would not be surprised to see a below average January here and a cold February in the UK, or vice versa.
I hope for a normal winter. Not slushy and with decent snowfall, but absolutely no January 1987 or anything of the sort. That is just way over the top.
Is it even possible to see a repeat of January 1987
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