Thanksgiving Storm 2014 (locations, most, East, colder)

[Cambium]

NWS Albany holding firm on the 10-14 inches for those areas.. Southern NH needs to watch out too.

[Cambium]

THE COAST SUCKS! lol They expanded the watches East since Euro agreed with the GFS.

Euro was to close to the coast! Move over more! Wiggle it!

[srfoskey]

I'm forecast about an inch of very cold rain. There's a slight chance of back end flurries, but it's looking unlikely. So this will be the third near miss for snow this season. That's better than last year, when we'd only had two near misses by this point.

[Cambium]

NWS NY NY upped the snow totals for the coast at 4-6". 6-8" moved south as well. I'm at the 6" border.

[snj90]

^ Well, that's hardly a better scenario for me. But I'll take 1-2 inches over <1.

[Cambium]

new NAM is amped up. Sounding shows cold and snow for boston.

Better image of nam update snow totals.
Thats a big area of 8 inch+ . Hard to believe so I won't

[Cambium]

See it time and time again... NWS NY goes up again.

6-8" expanded south to coast into NJ, NY, and SWCT. http://www.erh.noaa.gov/okx/stormtotalprecip.php



THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW YORK HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING.

* LOCATIONS...NEW YORK CITY...NORTHERN NASSAU COUNTY...SOUTHERN
WESTCHESTER COUNTY...WESTERN COASTAL CONNECTICUT....AND PORTIONS
OF NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY.

* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 8 INCHES.

* TIMING...A MIXTURE OF RAIN AND SNOW WEDNESDAY MORNING SHOULD
CHANGE TO ALL SNOW BY LATE AFTERNOON.

[Cambium]

Not often we see precip in the qpf column with 850s below freezing in November. Usually I see precip and warmth this month but when timing is right...this can happen.

Euro00z shows Islip Long Island surface in Mid 40s Wed 7am compared to mid 30s in Danbury, CT.
GFS similar. Not a Philly or Long Island snowstorm at all. Not cold enough this time.




Here's the sounding for Islip from GFS6z for 10am Wednesday. This is why you need to look at this.. If you just saw the 850mb level you wouldn't know that's about it. It's not/barely below freezing below that. Too warm for snow!

[Cambium]

Current Watches and Warning.

[mcip]

with a shift like that between yesterday afternoon and this morning what is the likely hood of another shift? It's looking more and more like my Thanksgiving is gonna go belly up