La Nina coming 2016-2017...but when (climate, warm, average, temperatures)

[jbgusa]

Originally Posted by Ed's Mountain

Does that mean La Nina is gaining strength again?

It would not surprise me. While the 1973 and 2010 La Niñas were steep plunges other ones had more of a staircase-down drop.I believe that 1970 and 1988 were among those but I could be wrong.

And I am not counting La Niñas such as 1966-7 or 1983-4 which were really more cold neutrals. We are in a long-term cold phase and this short a La Niña after a super El Niño would surprise me.

[Arktikos]

Latest climate prediction center bulletin, dated 8 Dec, says La Nina is currently holding and predicts transition to neutral conditions between January and March.

I don't believe this is any change from previous forecasts.

[chicagogeorge]

Originally Posted by Ed's Mountain

Does that mean La Nina is gaining strength again?

Looks like it has this past week. Don't know for how much longer. Models want to end La Nina soon. We'll see.

[Cambium]

Here we are Winter 2016-17, I haven't followed the ENSO in Pacific for months. Did we finally officially enter La Nina or not? Weak I assume if we did?


I'll check a few things soon

[Cambium]

Looks like we are in La Nina (Weak). They just haven't colored the numbers in blue yet. lol


Climate Prediction Center - Monitoring & Data: ENSO Impacts on the U.S. - Previous Events





Last discussion available


Climate Prediction Center - El Niño Southern Oscillation Diagnostic Discussion Archive

[Cambium]

I wanna congratulate these members for picking the right time La Nina is officially present (end of Summer). It took just 8 months to go from a strong El Nino to a weak La Nina




ASOT, Candle, chicagogeorge, dmbsmokey, ghost-likin, helena101, jbgusa, kaday, Mr. Uncut, NativeOrange, Pedrinho, RunD1987, shahroz98, Thunder98, West_Sider, yankeefan93




I have to check but the reason for starting this thread was because forecasts showed this drop into La Nina 6 months out.. And it happened. Nice to predict the general future that far out.

[chicagogeorge]

Let's see how much longer La Nina lasts


https://twitter.com/philklotzbach/st...10053741195264

[jbgusa]

Don't La Niñas often fade and then regenerate? See 1999-2000 and 2000-01 on chart in post #1095?

[Arktikos]

Originally Posted by Cambium

I wanna congratulate these members for picking the right time La Nina is officially present (end of Summer). It took just 8 months to go from a strong El Nino to a weak La Nina...

But the weather talking heads in the media say that La Nina didn't start until November.

[Cambium]

Originally Posted by Blind Cleric

But the weather talking heads in the media say that La Nina didn't start until November.

You know what?!!! I feel like Steve Harvey now! Wrong winner mentioned!


You're right. Check out the discussions per month..


JULY - ENSO-neutral conditions were observed







AUGUST - ENSO-neutral conditions were observed







SEPTEMBER - ENSO-neutral conditions were observed







OCTOBER - La Niña conditions were observed during October






....SO CONGRATULATIONS TO THESE WINNERS....


7 Wishes, AccidentalGenius, B87, Blind Cleric, Botev1912, brianpmcdonnell17, Cambium, dude1984, floridarebel, fluffydelusions, granit, Infamous92, JetsNHL, maineborzoi, Mr_Geek, MuffinMan16, NortheasternBound, roadwarrior101, rpvan, ScottsdaleMark, srfoskey, , Wildcat15