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Speak for yourself, I have a 52 F low for Sunday predicted and 54 F for Saturday lol.
I don't see below 55F happening with current setup. It really sucks because we're sooooo close to mid 40's, that high pressure just needed to be a couple hundred miles farther west. Really sucks.
Sunday afternoon seems like the most interesting to me, looks like overcast and 50's
And Monday morning; see those winds off the Atlantic? If the high pressure in North Carolina were farther west, maybe in Arkansas instead, we'd be looking at a very cool night.
I don't see below 55F happening with current setup. It really sucks because we're sooooo close to mid 40's, that high pressure just needed to be a couple hundred miles farther west. Really sucks.
Sunday afternoon seems like the most interesting to me, looks like overcast and 50's
Here's Sunday afternoon per the GFS
The GFS is a joke though. They're the same ones always predicting highs in the low 80s in the middle of summer, highly exaggerate the maritime influence on our climate.
That being said, I don't see even inland burbs dropping below 50 F.
The GFS is a joke though. They're the same ones always predicting highs in the low 80s in the middle of summer, highly exaggerate the maritime influence on our climate.
That being said, I don't see even inland burbs dropping below 50 F.
I'm making my prediction based on the basic model output, not on the "minimum temperatures" it predicts. That 63F on the map posted earlier is laughable.
What's funny is that out of all the "Lake Effect" cities in Upstate NY, Buffalo is the least snowy yet has the worst reputation....
The way I get it that was pretty much due to one storm in 1977, which as far as I'm aware was pretty much the most severe blizzard to strike a major lower 48 city in the television era, but it did give the city a reputation it didn't deserve.
Quote:
Originally Posted by alex985
The GFS is a joke though. They're the same ones always predicting highs in the low 80s in the middle of summer, highly exaggerate the maritime influence on our climate.
Could that be due to the the model resolution being low enough to be picking up on the highs offshore?
I'm making my prediction based on the basic model output, not on the "minimum temperatures" it predicts. That 63F on the map posted earlier is laughable.
OK - That makes sense.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Patricius Maximus
The way I get it that was pretty much due to one storm in 1977, which as far as I'm aware was pretty much the most severe blizzard to strike a major lower 48 city in the television era, but it did give the city a reputation it didn't deserve.
Could that be due to the the model resolution being low enough to be picking up on the highs offshore?
To your first point, that could be true. That '77 storm was a doozy solely because of the cold and wind (temps in the single digits and low teens I believe) and not so much the snowfall. Somewhat like a "ground blizzard" that happens in the Plains.
To your second point, very possible could be, the temps offshore are likely in the mid-high 80s though and very often it gives us a high of like 82 F in August. Also, I don't think I've ever seen the GFS predict anything below 55 F here.
What's funny is that out of all the "Lake Effect" cities in Upstate NY, Buffalo is the least snowy yet has the worst reputation....
Buffalo and Syracuse are the most well known Upstate NY cities in general. Also I wouldn't say that Buffalo has the worst reputation for snow, most people in NYC think of Upstate NY cities as equally cold
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