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Looks like the high will more than likely be 86 F (30 C), dew point was 68 F (20 C) at the time it happened. As is typical with this sort of warmth and humidity, there's lot of convection. I even drove through quite a heavy shower on the way back here from Miami but of course the rain stopped when I got closer to Broward.
Now it's 83 F with a 68 F dew point outside and cloudy. Dew point has been pretty steady at 68 F the last few hours.
Convective snows possible tomorrow even though clipper missing me to the south
Quote:
National Weather Service New York NY
116 PM EST Thu Mar 2 2017
.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
Winds will gradually decrease through the night as high pressure
builds into the area, though a few gusts may be possible given
strong cold advection. The polar air mass returns for Friday
with high temperatures 5 to 10 degrees below climatological
normals. Temperatures aloft will cool significantly as an upper
trough rotates southeastward, with a series of vorticity
maximums rotating around the base providing extra forcing for
ascent for precipitation. The cool temperatures aloft will
steepen lapse rates and provide an ideal set up for convective
snow showers and possibly snow squalls. Minimal accumulation is
anticipated, but poor visibility is likely in any squall that
develops. Friday night will be a return to winter, with lows 10
to 15 degrees below climatological normals and a very dry air
mass in place
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Albany NY
358 PM EST Thu Mar 2 2017
An arctic cold front and associated weak surface low will cross
the region Friday afternoon.
In wake of the arctic cold front passage, a bitterly cold air
mass will settle into the region Friday night. The coldest air of the winter season is expected, with 1000-500mb thickness
values in the 490s and 850mb temps of around -20C to -27C. This
will be an advective cold, with persistent gusty northwest winds
Friday night through Saturday. Frigid temps in the single
digits to near ten below zero combined with the winds will yield
wind chill values mainly in the -10 to -30 range. Wind chill
advisories and/or warnings will likely be needed. The coldest
readings will be over the higher terrain. Some lake effect snow
showers will affect areas west of the Hudson Valley Friday
night, but northwest flow and dry air mass will lead to narrow
multi-bands with very light accumulations.
The cold wind chills will last well into Saturday morning, with temperatures not rising much due to the continued cyclonic northwest flow and bitterly cold air mass in place. Highs only
expected to reach the teens and 20s even with fairly abundant
sunshine. Persistent northwest breeze will make it feel even
colder. Additional wind chill headlines will likely be needed
Saturday night, as it will still be breezy through much of the
night with continued frigid temperatures. High pressure will
build in by Sunday, with some moderation in temperatures
compared to previous days, but still below normal for early
March. Wind speeds will be much lower though, so it will feel
more tolerable despite cold temperatures.
For those not sure. NWS Albany coverage area covers NW Connecticut and Western MA. See shading here.
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