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Being it's June...It's Summer... so be it. Spring was a loss. Let this pattern continue now. We are cutting into the number of days it can be upper 80s and 90s now which is good.
As I been preaching, gotta love the models. No end in sight with regards to these cool dips and SE ridge unable to push heat north. NO HOT PATTERN IN SIGHT NORTH OF DC.
Yes there will be days of sun.
Yes there will be days of 70s & 80s
Yes there will days of humidity.
But overall the pattern continues with the northern Jet stream dipping down, clouds, cool, rainy chances..
In a Nutshell from NWS. They mention the Sub Tropical Ridge which I showed in this post and this post having a hard time
Quote:
National Weather Service Taunton MA
347 AM EDT Fri Jun 2 2017
Overview and model preferences...No significant changes in the
models with the 02.00Z guidance update. The flow remains dominated by the N stream through most of the long term, not allowing the warmer-subtropical ridging to influence the sensible wx across New England. Building upstream blocking will allow for the digging/deepening of trof/cutoff across the Great Lakes and New England early-mid next week. Beyond that, typical
model biases and uncertainty continue, as the models attempt to
break down the upstream block and force the trof/cutoff further
E. Will maintain a general blend of guidance with this update,
given that, until mid week, there is reasonably good agreement,
enough such that discrepancies are all but washed out.
Quote:
National Weather Service New York NY
345 AM EDT Fri Jun 2 2017
Upper trough and closed low continue to spin over New England
and southeast Canada today.
SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY... An amplified upper pattern continues through the period with a deep northeastern trough sliding offshore...only to be replaced by another developing closed low/eastern trough for early next week.
Models continue in general agreement on phasing of northern and PAC
stream energies into a developing closed upper low over the Great
lakes region Sunday. This low then pivots from the Great Lakes into
the region during the early week period...and likely lingers into at
least midweek.
High temperatures will likely get progressively cooler Mon thru Wed with cloud cover/precip and cold pool of upper low moving overhead.
Temps should gradually moderate to seasonable levels in the wake of
the upper trough...which may not be till late week.
I'll repeat this too... Have to wait till after the 10th or Mid June most likely to see if a warmer pattern can happen.
What a joke NYC and Philly are. More interestingly...its in the 40s & low 50s in the Philly Suburbs this morning June 2nd.
Look at the 60s along the Delaware Bay coast of New Jersey though... e.g., Southern Cumberland County. Pennsville and New Castle at 61 too. The Delaware River and Bay can evidently have a strong impact in keeping the morning lows warm.
Look at the 60s along the Delaware Bay coast of New Jersey though... e.g., Southern Cumberland County. Pennsville and New Castle at 61 too. The Delaware River and Bay can evidently have a strong impact in keeping the morning lows warm.
60 f here too
Yup, of course water influences but Philly & NYC are for other reasons. Long Island in the 50s NYC suburbs too
Philly (not the Heat Island International Airport)
2am was 55°, 1 hour later 52° then dropped to 46-48°F
Latest Euro00z had 2am at 50° and 8am at 48°. Now what? lol
It's all about knowledge and how to read the models. If you're going to look for exacts you WILL ALWAYS be disappointed. I'll say this till I'm blue in the face. You seem to want exacts all the time. Not the way it works.
Anyway - What a difference with how warmer Philly is vs points north and note the precip column, DRY. No 90s. No mid-upper 80s next 7 days at least
Here's Hartford coming up... Wow at the low single digit airmass aloft. Gees! Still means Upper 60s 70s this time of year anyway if the sun is out.. If its cloudy then 60s it will be.
Note the precip column and at the end of the run Heights build into the 580s.(heat coming mid month?)
Wind Gusts. Note the direction of the wind. Due South under the Ridge.
And yes it can still be 70s and 80s for some inside a Trough this time of year. Welcome to Summer. NW flow keeping things dry with dews in the 40s and 50s while the surface warms into the 70s and 80s with sun.
Temps Zoomed into this region. Isolated storms popping up
These are my favorite Late Spring/Summer days here. Bottle it up!
Where do you get these maps from? I always see you posting them, don't know where they are from
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