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Still ridiculously above average, but above average in late October is certainly more pleasant than above average during the summer or September. The leaves continue to stay stubbornly green and hang on the trees!
Still ridiculously above average, but above average in late October is certainly more pleasant than above average during the summer or September. The leaves continue to stay stubbornly green and hang on the trees!
Heavy rain possible on Tuesday.
Bridgeport only 3 times with a max temp below normal since September 11th. (6 weeks)
Heavy Rain and Winds. Even Thunderstorms possible. Negative tilted Jet Stream is a winter lovers dream. Too bad its only October.
Quote:
National Weather Service New York NY
754 PM EDT Sun Oct 22 2017
Models in good agreement with strong western Atlantic ridging slowly shifting offshore, as vigorous PAC shortwave/jet energy digs through the Central US Monday and all the way to the Gulf coast by Tuesday Night/Wed. The resultant -3 to 4 STD deep eastern US longwave trough
will then tilt towards the NE US for Midweek.
Its associated frontal system will approach the region Monday night,
and then crawl across the region Tue into Wed in the longitudinally
oriented steering flow. Trend with this system has been slower based
on the upper pattern and dprog/dt.
Heavy Rain: The slow movement of the front, deep lift (potentially
right rear of 150+ kt jet streak), weak instability, and
interaction with an increasingly moist and tropical airmass (+3
to 4 std) signal potential for multiple bands of heavy rain as
weak waves lift north along the front. Lower resolution
ensembles continue to range between 1 1/2 to 3 inches of rain
Tue thru Wed. Higher res operational NAM/GFS and SBUWRF models
indicating potential for localized swaths of 3-4 inches, much of
which falls in a 6 hr period. This looks to be a credible
threat based on synoptic pattern, but location/timing is very
much uncertain based on front and frontal wave timing and
location. See hydrology section for associated flooding threat.
Strong Winds: The other potential hazard is for strong winds during
the Tue into Tue Night period as a 50-60 kt 950 hpa low level jet moves overhead Tue afternoon into Tue night. NAM/GFS BUFKIT soundings
indicating a 12-15 hr period of southerly winds gusts of 30 to 40
mph, with potential for any low topped convective line/s ahead of
the cold front being able to drag down localized 45-55 mph wind
gusts to the surface.
A deepening negative tilting trough will move into the region
Wednesday through Wednesday night. A stalled cold front in the
region Wednesday into Wednesday night will shift slowly eastward as
a wave of low pressure travels northeastward along it late Wednesday
night into Thursday, allowing the front to move across late
Wednesday night.
Lowest temperature difference between Göle and Ardahan at night for the last 5 days:
Today:
Göle: -4.3°C
Ardahan: +1.6°C
Yesterday:
Göle: -6.4°C
Ardahan: -2.9°C
2 days ago:
Göle: -6.4°C
Ardahan: -3.3°C
3 days ago:
Göle: -6.1°C
Ardahan: -2.7°C
4 days ago:
Göle: -5.1°C
Ardahan: -3°C
Last edited by atsizat; 10-23-2017 at 03:31 AM..
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