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Still pretty warm here as well. High yesterday was near a record (it hit 75°). But tomorrow's high is 58°, and Wednesday 47°! Rain/snow mix in the forecast this weekend also (Sundays high is 44°), which is pretty awesome. It's going to be such a sharp drop
Keep us posted! Was just watching the GFS roll in.. Northeast MN and UP Michigan and Ontario still in for a surprise Friday.. Totals and exact location still varying..
National Weather Service Duluth MN
632 AM CDT Mon Oct 23 2017
This Thursday-Friday system has been threatening the region with a large snowfall, however, latest GFS and Canadian models have
continued the trend of moving the heaviest snowfall northward into
Canada leaving our area with much lighter snowfall accumulations
than prior runs. Based on current ensemble thinking, snowfall in
the 1 to 3" range for the area seems plausible except near the
Canadian border where 4-8" seems reasonable. If the Canadian model
is correct, areas south of Grand Marais would just see a dusting.
So there still is some uncertainty here, but overall the models
are beginning to converge on a solution. One other issue with the
more northerly track is warmer air makes its way northward which
could wrap a melting layer around the warm conveyor belt of the
developing low leading to a tongue of mixed precip in the heart of
the precip shield thus decreasing snowfall accumulation
potential. Either way, continue to monitor this system as the
forecast progresses.
Latest GFS for Friday 2am..
From October 16th... I been waiting for this front for over a week! Gotta love those models seeing this so far out.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium
As we warm up again after tomorrow....Looking ahead further...
Looks like we're in for a big pattern change. The warm ups will be short lived and there will be more deeper cold blasts. Michigan might be going from Summer to Winter skipping Fall. lol
But looks like it "could" be wild with fronts, storms, Lake effect snows, and deep cold end of October heading into November. We'll see.
So basically this front next week on Monday October 23rd coming across kicks off the entire pattern change..... This moves to the Eastern Seaboard Tuesday, and then........
Tornadoes in South & North Carolina past couple hrs. Temps in the 60s/70s.
Current Upper Heights. There it is! Troughs always bring activity. Keep em coming for next 4 mths please.
Quote:
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
311 PM EDT Mon Oct 23 2017
A full-latitude trough will deepen over the
eastern CONUS Tuesday night and early Wednesday. The associated
surface low will move north out of the Great Lakes while the cold front
moves east of our forecast area.
Today in Göle, the low was -4.3℃ and the high was 13.2℃.
Lows in Göle for the last 5 days
Today: -4.3℃
Yesterday: -6.4℃
2 days ago: -6.4℃
3 days ago: -6.1℃
4 days ago: -5.1℃
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