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I haven't made any for the other snow events or storms but..... this one coming up could potentially be worth it.
The Dates: December 28-31.
Locations: Potentially Texas to Northeast
Amounts: Too Soon!
The Set Up: Storm forms off the Southeast coast and moves Northeast while potentially merging with the Northern Jet stream to blow it up. Gulf moisture interaction also possible
As mentioned in the winter thread, both GFS & EURO models have this. A rare moment they both agree on something past 7 days. GFS has been pretty consistent past 2 days
The CPC already has outlined the Heavy snow potential area.. This of course will change many times as we near.
I'll be posting updates on this storm each day in this thread. If you hear anything about it from local news or meteorologists, please post. Thanks. Or even post a forecast, that would help.
I've been watching the long-term forecasts go back and forth on this storm. It'll be interesting to see how it turns out.
I'm in the heavy snow circle on that map.
Current forecast for me:
If we get snow, it looks like it might stick around for a while if the forecast verifies.
Thanks! Be curious how much they change their forecast along the way. Might end up being sunny and dry. LOL ... Fun to track something though. Been an active December but no real big one.
NWS Boston mentioning it... It would be coming with a fresh Arctic High Pressure to the north. We need timing and position to be perfect to get a big snowstorm. The setup is there!
Quote:
National Weather Service Taunton MA
559 AM EST Sat Dec 23 2017
Tuesday through Thursday...
Coldest air of the season. Persistent NW winds. Talking lows in the
single digits to below zero. Highs in the teens and 20s. Wind chills
roughly 5 to 10 degrees below observed temperatures at times. Ocean
effect stratus lingering offshore.
Friday onward...
Potential Nor`Easter. Consistent signal as of late within ensemble
means and CPC is highlighting the hazard threat in their 8-14 day
forecast. So far out in the forecast, details highly uncertain. Wait
till we get out of the present and holiday wintry weather, then we
will have the opportunity to entertain a more thorough discussion.
Weather channel forecast for State College PA had 6-10 inxhes forecasted for Friday as of yesterday afternoon. This morning the call is for a big fat 0.
So to update on the latest Models.... They're going to change with almost every run this far out but lets see if the storm is still there
Latest GFS: Powerful storm still showing up, but its way off shore. Jet streams merging too late for us
Latest Euro: misses with the 29th storm but then has another big storm right behind it on the 1st. Not sure if its confused on timing or if there will be 2 storms.
See it off the coast Jan 1st? Still too far for big snowstorm on land.
Latest Canadian has the big storm close enough for a decent size snowstorm Kentucky, DC, NYC, Boston.
Weather channel forecast for State College PA had 6-10 inxhes forecasted for Friday as of yesterday afternoon. This morning the call is for a big fat 0.
Ahhh, thanks! Making sense, they are following the model updates as I just showed above they are a miss for us except the Canadian but nobody takes that one seriously this far out. lol. Keep us posted. I doubt they'll change with each update. Would be surprised. Maybe twice a day?
GFS updates 4 times a day goes out 14 days.
Euro updates 2 times a day goes out 10 days
Canadian updates 2 times a day goes out 10 days
Navy updates 4 times a day goes out 7 days
Then there's the Ensemble runs which have a ton a different members within producing a result rather than just 1 mean, but I wont bore you.
As of right now, only thing in the forecast for us after the Christmas snow is cold. Really really cold. lol.
You can't get too much winter in winter.
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... Fun to track something though. Been an active December but no real big one.
