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Old 05-14-2019, 08:39 AM
 
29,537 posts, read 19,626,354 times
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Interesting forecast. Not very El Nino like

https://twitter.com/BenNollWeather/s...21438843740163
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Old 05-14-2019, 10:08 AM
B87
 
Location: Surrey/London
11,769 posts, read 10,599,580 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge View Post
1993 is popping up as an analog. I was 20-21 years old and working heat and air conditioning that year. The summer was LAME
1993 was a dreadful summer. It was the last time that a summer failed to record even 30c in the UK.

At Heathrow...
June: 21.8c/12.2c, 43.9mm, 224.2 hrs
July: 21.6c/12.6c, 35.0mm, 174.6 hrs
August: 21.6c/11.7c, 23.8mm, 219.4 hrs

The warmest day of the year at Heathrow was only 28.4c.
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Old 05-14-2019, 11:42 AM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by B87 View Post
1993 was a dreadful summer. It was the last time that a summer failed to record even 30c in the UK.

At Heathrow...
June: 21.8c/12.2c, 43.9mm, 224.2 hrs
July: 21.6c/12.6c, 35.0mm, 174.6 hrs
August: 21.6c/11.7c, 23.8mm, 219.4 hrs

The warmest day of the year at Heathrow was only 28.4c.
June was by far the worst summer month that year. July and August were near normal in temps but had few very warm or hot days.

For us at Midway

June:25.8C/15.4C
July: 29.1C/20.2C
Aug:28.8C/19.6C

Only 15 days at or above 90F/32.2C (normal is 23). 35 days at or above 86F/30.0C (normal is 44).
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Old 05-14-2019, 04:32 PM
 
30,436 posts, read 21,271,177 times
Reputation: 11990
Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge View Post
Interesting forecast. Not very El Nino like

https://twitter.com/BenNollWeather/s...21438843740163
I'm buying the map on the right dwight.
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Old 05-15-2019, 05:00 AM
 
29,537 posts, read 19,626,354 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by LKJ1988 View Post
I'm buying the map on the right dwight.
Unlikely. Models are usually not good forecasting over a month out and don't pick up feedbacks from an overabundance of spring rains. See how wet it's been in places that usually are the source of heat in the summer like Texas?


https://twitter.com/Met_khinz/status...05153382199296
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Old 05-15-2019, 05:04 AM
 
30,436 posts, read 21,271,177 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge View Post
Unlikely. Models are usually not good forecasting over a month out and don't pick up feedbacks from an overabundance of spring rains. See how wet it's been in places that usually are the source of heat in the summer like Texas?


https://twitter.com/Met_khinz/status...05153382199296
I am calling for a below normal summer on rain for my area. With a reverse west windflow most of the heavy rain will be 5 to 50 miles inland of me like last summer. Places east of Tampa had 70"+ last summer while places on the coast saw only around 40" or around there. I had a dry June, super dry July and a even worse Sept.

I got more rain in Dec than i did in 3 summer months put together just about.
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Old 05-15-2019, 05:26 AM
B87
 
Location: Surrey/London
11,769 posts, read 10,599,580 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by LKJ1988 View Post
I am calling for a below normal summer on rain for my area. With a reverse west windflow most of the heavy rain will be 5 to 50 miles inland of me like last summer. Places east of Tampa had 70"+ last summer while places on the coast saw only around 40" or around there. I had a dry June, super dry July and a even worse Sept.

I got more rain in Dec than i did in 3 summer months put together just about.

An easterly?
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Old 05-15-2019, 08:05 AM
 
Location: Key Biscayne, FL
5,706 posts, read 3,776,023 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by B87 View Post
An easterly?
No, "reverse west windflow" means a westerly sea breeze, which contrary to what LKJ might believe is normal in Tampa during summer.
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Old 05-15-2019, 04:37 PM
 
30,436 posts, read 21,271,177 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by AJ1013 View Post
No, "reverse west windflow" means a westerly sea breeze, which contrary to what LKJ might believe is normal in Tampa during summer.
Another here does not understand man. Like they think they know it when they don't. When the axis of the high pressure is south of the Tampa area we have a west wind 24/7, and that is no sea breeze my man.

A real sea breeze for my coast during the summer is when the axis of the high is north of the Tampa area giving us a southeast windflow bro. Since air heats crossing over land man, it will rise allowing cooler air from the gulf to rush in under, this is a SEABREEZE.


People need to wake up to the simple facts on how my weather works during the summer. It all depends on the summer pattern and where you live. With a southeast flow the west coast gets the better chances of heavy rain while with a reverse west windflow that is not a sea breeze will bring more rain inland and toward the east coast. Since massive ice melt started in the mid 80's it has caused sub surface currents to change displacing the summer time ridge to the south of where it should be most of the time.

No one knows my weather better than i do. And now the class can understand what a sea breeze is and what a reverse west windflow is. So easy a baby can do it.
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Old 05-15-2019, 05:26 PM
 
Location: Fort Worth, Texas
4,877 posts, read 4,217,674 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by LKJ1988 View Post
I am calling for a below normal summer on rain for my area. With a reverse west windflow most of the heavy rain will be 5 to 50 miles inland of me like last summer. Places east of Tampa had 70"+ last summer while places on the coast saw only around 40" or around there. I had a dry June, super dry July and a even worse Sept.

I got more rain in Dec than i did in 3 summer months put together just about.
You always predict the same weather for your area day in and day out, as you would say your weather will be “Hot and Dry Sly”, perhaps if you predicted cooler and wetter weather for your area, maybe then it just might come to fruition, you’ve made the weather in your area a self-fulfilling-prophecy, think about it.
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