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Link below may help --> under the name 'Hurricane Matthew' is 'Radius of Max winds' and 'Eye Diameter'. The circle with the hurricane symbol in it just under that shows how far out hurricane (74mph(64knots) or higher) go out from the eye(center) in each quadrant (4 corners) of the hurricane. THESE WILL CHANGE DAILY as Jandrew5 mentioned.
Keep in mind:
-Hurricane forecast will constantly change as a slight wobble here or there has large implications 100+ miles later (think of someone texting while driving = side to side in lane & ends up somewhere else eventually).
-The maximum winds are usually only around the center eye wall (ring around the eye/center on radar) itself and less as you head away from center.
-Stronger winds are usually found in the heavier rain bands.
-Tornado's are more likely to occur in the North-East 'quadrant' of a hurricane.
Water is statistically by far the biggest killer in hurricanes (from inland flooding and storm surge (rise of water above normal tide level)). Storm surge is the biggest killer though. Make sure any decisions include this factor.
Edit: 'most people pay attention to the winds because catoegory of hurricanes is based on this. There is internal debate on changing that system to reflect all the actual threats.
We are thinking about staying here in Ladson. Do you think we should be evacuting or will it be okay here? We didn't flood last year.
Same here, we live in Ladson too. Didn't flood last year. Am leaning on the stay side of things. Probably watch the 5 o'clock update and make a decision at that time. If it stays the same, we will stay.
Water is statistically by far the biggest killer in hurricanes (from inland flooding and storm surge (rise of water above normal tide level)). Storm surge is the biggest killer though. Make sure any decisions include this factor.
Edit: 'most people pay attention to the winds because catoegory of hurricanes is based on this. There is internal debate on changing that system to reflect all the actual threats.
This is what worries me about people in JI, Mt P, downtown, WA, etc suddenly saying they're going to stay now. Surge is no joke and is the biggest threat from canes.
Not only is there the ocean surge, but there's also the harbor, intracoastal waterway, and a maze of rivers and creeks to make flood matters worse.
Models are looking more promising, for SC at least, but we're still not out of the woods yet.
The 2pm update from National Hurricane Center upped surge amounts:
"The water could reach the following heights above ground if the peak
surge occurs at the time of high tide...
Sebastian Inlet to Edisto Beach, including portions of the St.
Johns River...7 to 11 ft Edisto Beach to South Santee River...4 to 6 ft
Deerfield Beach to Sebastian Inlet...4 to 6 ft
Virginia Key to Deerfield Beach...1 to 3 ft
Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge
and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances.
Large waves generated by Matthew will cause water rises to occur
well in advance of and well away from the track of the center."
Anybody know how high the water level got after last October's flood? That's probably the best test of how well your house will handle a hurricane level flood. I imagine what flood zone you're in will best determine how much flood water you'll see.
Anybody know how high the water level got after last October's flood? That's probably the best test of how well your house will handle a hurricane level flood. I imagine what flood zone you're in will best determine how much flood water you'll see.
Inland flooding verses coastal and potential inland flooding in this case.
There is a new prototype surge map now available. It updates about an hour after the NHC hurricane updates are released give or take. This was developed after Sandy.
This is the first year it's been available. Very good at showing how surge can head up rivers from the ocean / bays.
This does NOT account for rains. This is surge flooding only from rising coastal waters.
**this map shows likely worse case scenario at this time (i.e.: hits at high tide vs low tide). Subject to change each update.
Same here, we live in Ladson too. Didn't flood last year. Am leaning on the stay side of things. Probably watch the 5 o'clock update and make a decision at that time. If it stays the same, we will stay.
Ladson resident here to. Staying put. Hopefully no limb fly and hit my car
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