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View Poll Results: Most likely to surpass 6 million in area population by midcentury?
Greater Detroit-Windsor 12 8.16%
Greater San Diego-Tijuana 12 8.16%
Greater Tampa Bay Area 4 2.72%
Greater Seattle 30 20.41%
Greater Phoenix 48 32.65%
Greater Guadalajara 7 4.76%
Greater Monterrey 5 3.40%
Greater Montreal 4 2.72%
Greater Minneapolis/Saint Paul 5 3.40%
Greater Cleveland 1 0.68%
Greater Denver 14 9.52%
Greater Portland 1 0.68%
Greater Orlando 4 2.72%
Voters: 147. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 09-27-2015, 03:22 PM
 
6,843 posts, read 10,987,254 times
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https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_o..._United_States

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Transborder_agglomeration

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Metrop...reas_of_Mexico

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tampa_Bay_Area

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_o...ions_in_Canada

I'm only including the places over 3 million today.

Vote for all of the places that you think will cross the 6 million mark by, lets say, midcentury. I'll leave it as a multiple choice poll for that reason.

Factors to include: 1) natural population growth; 2) the potential for addition of close-by or closely-knit territories into current area (use proof for this if you are making an argument -- commuting data).

The candidates:
- Detroit-Windsor, MI-ON, US-CAN.: 5,700,000 (2014)
- San Diego-Tijuana, CA-BC, US-MEX.: 5,105,769 (2014)
- Greater Tampa Bay Area, FL: 4,641,791* (2014)
- Seattle-Tacoma, WA Combined Statistical Area: 4,526,991 (2014)
- Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale, AZ Metropolitan Statistical Area: 4,489,109 (2014)
- Greater Guadalajara: 4,434,252 (2010)
- Greater Monterrey: 4,106,054 (2010)
- Minneapolis-St. Paul, MN-WI Combined Statistical Area: 3,835,050 (2014)
- Greater Montreal: 3,824,221 (2011)
- Cleveland-Akron-Canton, OH Combined Statistical Area: 3,497,851 (2014)
- Denver-Aurora, CO Combined Statistical Area: 3,345,261 (2014)
- Portland-Vancouver-Salem, OR-WA Combined Statistical Area: 3,060,078 (2014)
- Orlando-Deltona-Daytona Beach, FL Combined Statistical Area: 3,045,707 (2014)


* Tampa/Saint Petersburg + Lakeland + Sarasota + Homosassa Springs (Source: FL DOF, FL DOT, DMA Media Markets, Tampa Bay Planning Commission)

I've provided all of the links so that way people can look into their growth rates to get an idea of what their trajectories are and how fast they are gaining.

Again, its more than okay to choose multiple cities in the poll, as the chances are likely that a number of them will pass 6 million in our lifetimes. Well, at least the potential is there, we don't know for sure, so this thread is more speculative than anything else.

Give your reasons why too, why whichever city will be over 6 million over the others.

Thanks in advance.
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Old 09-27-2015, 03:28 PM
 
Location: South Beach and DT Raleigh
13,966 posts, read 24,199,229 times
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I think that the correct answer is Austin.
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Old 09-27-2015, 04:02 PM
 
Location: Paris
1,773 posts, read 2,680,279 times
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OP you live in the UK, don't you know better than this nonsense? How laughably inflated can we make some of these? 4.6 million for Tampa!?!?!?
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Old 09-27-2015, 04:20 PM
 
1,099 posts, read 1,433,227 times
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Phoenix. Denver, Seattle, and Minneapolis will experience a lot of growth, but won't crack 6 for a while
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Old 09-27-2015, 05:28 PM
 
Location: Underneath the Pecan Tree
15,982 posts, read 35,251,326 times
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Has Atlanta reached 6 million yet?
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Old 09-27-2015, 05:59 PM
 
1,017 posts, read 1,495,533 times
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If commuting between the Toledo MSA and the Detroit MSA increases a bit, they could get combined to get to the 6 million threshold.
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Old 09-27-2015, 06:31 PM
 
37,902 posts, read 42,055,455 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blkgiraffe View Post
Has Atlanta reached 6 million yet?
Yes Atlanta's CSA is over 6 million.
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Old 09-29-2015, 07:14 PM
 
1,169 posts, read 1,435,153 times
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Orlando and Phoenix are the top contenders here, both are booming at record levels right now. Something noteworthy, theoretically speaking, I can see Orlando-Tampa-Lakeland being combined into one large super-CSA in the near future, similarly to Dallas-Forth Worth, in which case the 6 million mark would be easily surpassed, once again theoretically speaking..
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Old 09-29-2015, 08:45 PM
 
Location: Atlanta
1,186 posts, read 1,515,613 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MrKnight View Post
Orlando and Phoenix are the top contenders here, both are booming at record levels right now. Something noteworthy, theoretically speaking, I can see Orlando-Tampa-Lakeland being combined into one large super-CSA in the near future, similarly to Dallas-Forth Worth, in which case the 6 million mark would be easily surpassed, once again theoretically speaking..
I don't know if that would truly happen, but it might.

Borlando and all of the envious central Florida posters would love the opportunity to say that their region is larger than Atlanta.

Tampa has too much pride and too much going on to want to be or forced to be paired with Orlando. The gubment may write it, but Tampa Bay won't be signing it. Guarantee that.
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Old 09-30-2015, 07:17 AM
 
1,169 posts, read 1,435,153 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by isawooty View Post
I don't know if that would truly happen, but it might.

Borlando and all of the envious central Florida posters would love the opportunity to say that their region is larger than Atlanta.

Tampa has too much pride and too much going on to want to be or forced to be paired with Orlando. The gubment may write it, but Tampa Bay won't be signing it. Guarantee that.
Someone must be in a sour mood today.. Have you ever even lived in Central Florida? Who exactly is being "envious" here as you say?
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