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North Carolina and Virginia major cities, accurate as of 2/28:
Richmond 14/6.36
Durham 6/2.33
Newport News 4/2.19
Greensboro 6/2.11
Charlotte 16/1.93
Norfolk 4/1.63
Virginia Beach 2/0.44
Raleigh 1/0.22
Both Richmond and Charlotte had five murders in February. Both cities are on course to have a higher murder rate than last year. This is especially troubling for Charlotte, which has saw its murder rate shoot up since a record low 2014, and this year looks to be no different...
Through two months, Norfolk is tracking way down (46 last year), as is Newport News (31 last year). It would appear that Hampton Roads as a whole experienced a two-year anomaly in 2015-16, and is on its way back to normalizing, because the trends are also true of the smaller locales...
Both Durham and Greensboro are trending downwards. And there's no surprise with Raleigh and Virginia Beach. Just for reference, here's what all of these cities posted last year:
Richmond 66/30.00
Norfolk 46/18.70
Durham 44/17.05
Newport News 31/16.94
Greensboro 39/13.68
Charlotte 67/8.10
Raleigh 22/4.88
Virginia Beach 21/4.64
Location: Watching half my country turn into Gilead
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Originally Posted by Geo-Aggie
Wilmington 10/13.91
St. Louis 27/8.55
Birmingham 17/8.00
New Orleans 31/7.96
Baltimore 49/7.88
Jackson 13/7.62
Hartford 7/5.64
Memphis 31/4.73
Buffalo 11/4.26 Detroit 27/3.99
Chicago 94/3.45
Springfield (MO) 5/2.99
Philadelphia 46/2.94
Toledo 8/2.86
Milwaukee 16/2.67
Tulsa 10/2.48
Washington 14/2.08
Oakland 8/1.91
Boston 4/0.60
Updated to add Detroit as of 2/22/17 - Source(Rows 302-328 are 2017, all others are 2016.)
Given its reputation and track record, this isn't a bad year so far for the Motor City.
Wilmington is now at 11 for the year. The city has reached 11 homicides by gunfire over two months earlier than average, and people are protesting the new mayor heavily. Are we currently the most dangerous city per capita in America?
Of course it's going to have a relatively low murder rate if it has rapid growth. The population wouldn't be growing rapidly if it had a really high murder rate, because people would not be choosing to move there. If you look at all the top murder rate cities, almost all of them have stagnant or declining populations.
Also, the rapid growth can dilute the murder rate as well. Especially given the sprawled out nature of the city of Raleigh.
Yes, but not actually to the extent you may think. Southeast Raleigh is known as the "ghetto" in the city. On average, the most murders and violent crime happens there, but murders only at a 45-55% annual mark. Southeast Raleigh is two-thirds black, population around 90,000, and while the annual murder rate is roughly 2.5 times the city average, Southeast murder rate generally sits between 9-12 per 100k...
Now, I don't have to tell you this, but it's fascinating to note anyway. There are just not many places in this nation of ours with a two-thirds black population, with such a low murder rate. There are entire cities with similar demographics and much higher rates of violent crime. There is something special to be said of, and a bit of pride to be shared in, as a young black male, that there is a city where even in its ghettoes, young black men aren't annihilating each other...
The psychology of that and trying to understand how Raleigh is and became that way is fascinating. I've gone and followed trends in Raleigh's murder rate since the 80s, so this isn't a new thing there. Certainly, the opposite is true in neighboring Durham, where there are more deemed "bad areas" and the black males there are much more violence-prone. It's amazing, really...
The closest thing I could think of to the second part of this post and is truly urban is maybe Mount Vernon NY, which has homicide rates that are roughly in that range, give or take, when looking at data from 2005-2014. It had a few years a little bit over(all 3 years had 10 homicides(14.7 in '08, 14.6 in '09 and 14.7 in '12), but the other years are under even 9 per 100k except for 1. It is 64% Black(about 15% Hispanic) and has about 68,000 people. It is NY State's 9th biggest city and has a population density of roughly 15,500/square mile.
If you go back to 1985, there are 6 other years where the rate went above 12 per 100k in the city(20.8 in 1990 was its worst year). Its population has held steady pretty much that whole time and its southern border is shared with the Bronx. 13 of the years between 1985-2014 have had a rate below 9 per 100k and 6 years are in the 9-12 per 100k range. There isn't any data for 1998 and 1999. According to the city-data information, it only had 2 homicides in 2015.
SE Raleigh can range from stereotypical inner city to solidly/upper middle class suburbia.
Last edited by ckhthankgod; 03-01-2017 at 12:53 PM..
Hartford, CT 7
Wilmington, Delaware 10
Boston, MA 4
Bridgeport, CT 2
New Haven, CT 1
Waterbury, CT 1
Paterson, NJ 4
Brockton, MA 2
Lancaster, PA 3
Harrisburg, PA 1
Trenton, NJ 1
Albany, NY 1
Syracuse, NY 3
Buffalo, NY 10
Allentown, PA 2
Erie, PA 3
Syracuse might have 2(same incident), but I'll have to check that again.
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