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Allegheny County, home to Pittsburgh and 1.22 million residents is still at just 3 homicides for 2019. According to the Pittsburgh Post Gazette, the average number of murders in the county in January between 2005 and 2017 was 10-12, so it is a pretty good start to 2020 in the area.
Chicago is officially at least at 40, which is a whopping 14 more than this point a year ago. The average over the previous seven years is 42.7 murders as of February 2nd, so this year seems on track for an average (read: violent) year. It is fortunately well off the pace of the extraordinary violence of 2016/2017, but still quite bad especially after three straight years of a declining murder rate.
I think the weather really has had an impact this winter, it's been so mild and quiet. Not once has the weather kept people indoors or there's been a big snowstorm.
We haven't had much of any snow at all and the last half of December was exclusively in the 40's, 50's and 60's. January saw only ONE day where the temp wasn't at least 30 degrees, the next two weeks the highs are all above freezing. Over 1/3 of the days in January were in the 40's and 50's.
I think the weather really has had an impact this winter, it's been so mild and quiet. Not once has the weather kept people indoors or there's been a big snowstorm.
We haven't had much of any snow at all and the last half of December was exclusively in the 40's, 50's and 60's. January saw only ONE day where the temp wasn't at least 30 degrees, the next two weeks the highs are all above freezing. Over 1/3 of the days in January were in the 40's and 50's.
Chicago is one place where you really don't want to be down to hoping for bad weather.
Chicago is officially at least at 40, which is a whopping 14 more than this point a year ago. The average over the previous seven years is 42.7 murders as of February 2nd, so this year seems on track for an average (read: violent) year. It is fortunately well off the pace of the extraordinary violence of 2016/2017, but still quite bad especially after three straight years of a declining murder rate.
This doesn't make any sense? Chicago had about 415 in both 2013 and 2014. The lowest it's been since the 60s. It was so close to dropping into the 300s and they blew it. But all the factors that made it spike to 762 (Rahm Emanuel and the Macdonald tape, Eddie Johnson, Civil Liberties Union) are all gone. When homicides have been falling by approximately 13% every year since 2016, you would expect 2020 to end with about 430, and 2021 should end with about 380.
If Chicago can even hit even 399, it will completely end all basis for the "Chicago murder capital" narrative. Then Chicago can finally move forward with becoming a true global city that the world will take seriously. So is Chicago tryna do that or na? You would think with all the skyscrapers being built and all the gentrification into historically dangerous neighborhoods like Little Village, Chicago Lawn, and Back of the yards, along with the rapid decline in the black population, the homicide numbers should be continuing to go down.
People might just chock it up to being part of Chicago's gang epidemic, but at this rate it seems like it must just be based on individual retaliation instead. What do gangs have to profit from killing this many people. Gangs historically try to stay out of eachother's way so they can do business instead of spending resources killing a lot of people.
I will admit to not knowing a bunch about the specific gang problems in Chicago, but isn't Chicago's present day gang culture a joke compared to what it was in the Larry Hoover days? Like its just small sets now I assume? Ive heard Philly doesn't have organized gangs but I assume they have neighborhood sets as well? And with a similar Black population they still trail Chicago in homicides by a good margin.
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