[ctwhitechin]

Everyone is still all over the place with this one Cam as far as snow vs. Rain, me in the Hartford area I say rain but up around Torrington could be snow, but then up into the upper 50 s for the weekend, maybe We get an inch or so in Hartford but I still say rain...not really worried about this one inland but the coast really doesn't need this crap right now...people are already panicking thinking this will be as bad as last week media hyping it up but I think it will be a really nasty day, ground up this way is pretty dry, leaves down off of trees since the wind last week for sure so that will stop as many limbs from falling, I figure if trees around me didn't fall last week they won't wednesday night with less wind...

[7 Wishes]

Latest NWS take on it.....seems a little less rain, snow confined to inland, pretty heavy wind, but more so in Long Island (not good!), southeast CT (not good, despite the lack of news on them) than in sw CT (good!), NYC (good!) and NJ (very good!):

[wavehunter007]

According to the NWS - the storm on Wed will bring RAIN for the Tri-State area. In the northern and northwestern portions of the region the onset of precip MIGHT mix with some wet snow before turning to rain. As far as the wind, NWS Upton (as of this morning) is says winds of 20 to 25 mph with gusts to 45 mph along the coast and in high terrain. After the low pulls through on Wed/Thur, sunshine returns and warming temps into the mid 50's and maybe near 60 F by Monday.

Tides phases will be low on Wed/Thur, so this should help wilth coastal flooding, but there could be some coastal flooding again according to NWS:

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
648 AM EST MON NOV 5 2012
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL STORM WILL LIKELY IMPACT THE AREA WEDNESDAY
INTO THURSDAY...

MODELS ARE IN BETTER AGREEMENT ON UPPER LEVEL FEATURES...AND NOW SFC
LOW TRACK...WITH NOTICEABLE CLUSTERING OCCURRING WITH LOW TRACK AS
COMPARED TO PREVIOUS RUNS.

NAM/UKMET AND SREF FURTHER EAST...WITH GFS/ECMWF/GGEM TO THE WEST.
THERE ARE STILL SOME DIFFERENCES WITH TIMING...STRENGTH AND EXACT
TRACK BEYOND THIS TIME WHICH OBVIOUSLY WILL BE CRITICAL TO THE
SEVERITY OF CERTAIN IMPACTS FROM THE STORM...COASTAL FLOODING AND
BEACH EROSION FOR EXAMPLE. SEE TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING SECTION FOR
MORE INFORMATION.

A COLD AIRMASS WILL BE IN PLACE TO START WITH HIGH PRES RETREATING
TO THE NORTH. HOWEVER...MODELS CONTINUE TO TREND SLOWER WITH THE
ONSET OF PRECIP. THEREFORE...DO NOT FORESEE MUCH IN THE WAY OF
WINTRY PRECIPITATION AT THE START DUE TO THE LATER ONSET.

BOTTOM LINE...HIGH CONFIDENCE IN DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE OCCURRING
SOMEWHERE OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC. HOWEVER...IT IS STILL HARD
TO PINPOINT EXACT FORECAST DETAILS AT THIS TIME DUE TO
TIMING/POSITIONAL DIFFERENCES...BUT CONFIDENCE IS GROWING FOR A
POTENTIAL HEAVY RAIN AND HIGH/STRONG WIND EVENT.

[Cambium]

Latest NAM model has a snowstorm for the Hudson valley and Litchfield County. It trended colder, and stronger with the storm.

Here's the Precip type at 10pm Wednesday.



Snow total from the latest NAM has NYC in 2-4" T-2" elsewhere in CT and 4-8" in Litchfield County

[Cambium]

Latest GFS Stalls. Gives Delaware half foot of snow and an inch into CT. Obviously the models are showing the snow idea, they are just all over the place with where. But bottom line its not a pretty sight to see a sizeable storm.

[DarkWolf]

I doubt there will be any snow where i live it will stay above 35 even at night.....and up to 50 in the daytime.

[Cambium]

Euro12z shows snowstorm for east coast. Danbury stays all snow for entire event. Here's the data... Look at the 6Hr QPF amounts and look at the 2M temps and 850 temps. All Support snow. Less amounts as you go inland because the storm is further east. So Danbury would have plowable snows while Hartford Shoveable.

[7 Wishes]

Originally Posted by Cambium

Euro12z shows snowstorm for east coast.

Do you mean everyone or just inland?

[Mixum]

how does nobody not know exactly what this will be yet? its late monday and this is happening wed

[Cambium]

Originally Posted by 7 Wishes

Do you mean everyone or just inland?

"that run" was everyone north of Merrit but mixing issues closer to merrit.