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Unlike a number of other states where Cruz has won, Trump has spent a lot of time in Wisconsin over the last few days. So it might be a relatively tight race despite the polling showing Cruz being the winner.
I see three possible outcomes.
Cruz wins statewide and wins 5 of 8 CDs - Scores 33 Delegates, Trump gets 9. Best possible outcome for Cruz and he lives for another day.
Situation turns out like Missouri. Very tight between two campaigns. Fight will be over 18 delegates. This is a bad day for Cruz
Trump wins statewide takes at least 4 CDs - Scores 28 Delegates, Cruz gets 12. This would be devastating to the Cruz campaign. The few billionaires backing Cruz, IMO, will start to question how much more money they should pour into this campaign. Cruz has already burned through $91.2B of their money without much to show for it.
I don't predict that Kasich will win any delegates.
Conclusion.
Trump - Nice if he wins Wisconsin but no big deal if he doesn't. The race will be moving to the Acela Corridor where Cruz will be devastated.
Cruz - Wisconsin is his Waterloo. If he can't pull down a big win, especially considering the amount of resources they spent there, then stick him with a fork, he's done.
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dexter75
As Ive said before. Trumpettes only pay attention to and believe polls their messiah is leading in. Every other poll has Cruz leading comfortably. This poll is a joke, thats why its not even listed on RCP
You keep bringing up that word messiah, often. No one thinks of Trump as a messiah (Jesus is my only Messiah). I'm beginning to think since you're so fixated on that word that you must feel Cruz is your messiah .. I bet you've even built an altar to him, with his picture hanging above it and when you're kneeling before it praying to him you're also burning candles and incense (but hopefully you're not making sacrifices to him )
Unlike a number of other states where Cruz has won, Trump has spent a lot of time in Wisconsin over the last few days. So it might be a relatively tight race despite the polling showing Cruz being the winner.
I see three possible outcomes.
Cruz wins statewide and wins 5 of 8 CDs - Scores 33 Delegates, Trump gets 9. Best possible outcome for Cruz and he lives for another day.
Situation turns out like Missouri. Very tight between two campaigns. Fight will be over 18 delegates. This is a bad day for Cruz
Trump wins statewide takes at least 4 CDs - Scores 28 Delegates, Cruz gets 12. This would be devastating to the Cruz campaign. The few billionaires backing Cruz, IMO, will start to question how much more money they should pour into this campaign. Cruz has already burned through $91.2B of their money without much to show for it.
I don't predict that Kasich will win any delegates.
Conclusion.
Trump - Nice if he wins Wisconsin but no big deal if he doesn't. The race will be moving to the Acela Corridor where Cruz will be devastated.
Cruz - Wisconsin is his Waterloo. If he can't pull down a big win, especially considering the amount of resources they spent there, then stick him with a fork, he's done.
He's down by 31 points in NY and 18 in PA - IMO, he has no shot regardless of what happens tomorrow.
Cruz is very unlikely to get 1,237 by the convention, but that doesn't mean he can't do well enough to prevent Trump from getting there. He may end up performing better than he is in the current polls as he tends to outperform polls (while Trump tends to underperform his poll numbers).
LOL!! Because ONE poll put of 8 shows him losing? Cruz will win rather easily tomorrow
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