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Old 10-31-2016, 02:34 PM
 
16,376 posts, read 22,486,570 times
Reputation: 14398

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Quote:
Originally Posted by kingtodd View Post
Because there is real risk that Trump could be president. That in and of itself should scare anybody with a heartbeat. Get out and vote to stop the orange faced beast!
One of the Wash Post or NY Times articles from today(I forgot which) said that some people that were planning to vote 3rd party because they thought Clinton was going to win by a landslide....have since changed their mind and are voting for Clinton because they don't want Trump to win.

 
Old 10-31-2016, 02:36 PM
 
Location: Tampa, FL
27,798 posts, read 32,435,463 times
Reputation: 14611
Anyone watching MSNBC's Steve Kornacki now?

Electoral map is pretty depressing.



For Trumpkins that is.

He needs all toss-ups and needs to flip a solid Blue state......

http://cdn.thedailybeast.com/content...195.cached.jpg
 
Old 10-31-2016, 02:39 PM
 
12,547 posts, read 9,936,246 times
Reputation: 6927
Quote:
Originally Posted by eddiehaskell View Post
Don't look now libs but 538's now-cast has Trump up to 26% chance of winning.
538 now up to 27% for Trump.
 
Old 10-31-2016, 02:40 PM
 
11,988 posts, read 5,294,358 times
Reputation: 7284
Quote:
Originally Posted by sware2cod View Post
Is Survey Monkey a decent poll? I have been seeing many of the SurveyMonkey state polls and I am not sure if the pollster is reliable. Do they do standard landline/cell live polls?
Survey Monkey is a web based poll that is well regarded by Nate Silver, among others. There are good and bad web based polls, like there are good and bad traditional pollsters. The best thing I can think of to support Survey Monkey is that NBC News had enough confidence in their accuracy to partner with them.

Attached are a couple of articles on Survey Monkey.

The Future Of Polling May Depend On Donald Trump

SurveyMonkey Fills the Gap as Traditional Political Polls Flounder - Bloomberg Politics
 
Old 10-31-2016, 02:52 PM
 
Location: Somewhere
8,069 posts, read 6,970,740 times
Reputation: 5654
Quote:
Originally Posted by eddiehaskell View Post
538 now up to 27% for Trump.
25.8 it already fell LOL
 
Old 10-31-2016, 02:52 PM
 
15,706 posts, read 11,774,139 times
Reputation: 7020
Quote:
Originally Posted by BucFan View Post
Anyone watching MSNBC's Steve Kornacki now?

Electoral map is pretty depressing.



For Trumpkins that is.

He needs all toss-ups and needs to flip a solid Blue state......

http://cdn.thedailybeast.com/content...195.cached.jpg
He's in blue states now trying to flip them. Not sure if that will happen though.
 
Old 10-31-2016, 03:06 PM
 
Location: Tampa, FL
27,798 posts, read 32,435,463 times
Reputation: 14611
Quote:
Originally Posted by Fiyero View Post
He's in blue states now trying to flip them. Not sure if that will happen though.
RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - Michigan: Trump vs. Clinton

46.8 Clinton (D) +7.0
39.8 Trump (R)
 
Old 10-31-2016, 03:12 PM
 
12,547 posts, read 9,936,246 times
Reputation: 6927
Gravis Marketing

Pennsylvania


Trump 44%
Clinton 47%
 
Old 10-31-2016, 03:26 PM
 
Location: Tampa, FL
27,798 posts, read 32,435,463 times
Reputation: 14611
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » THE COMEY EFFECT



http://www.centerforpolitics.org/cry...1_pres_600.png
 
Old 10-31-2016, 03:32 PM
 
Location: South Jersey
14,497 posts, read 9,433,651 times
Reputation: 5251
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bureaucat View Post
NBC News/Survey Monkey National Poll ( Released 4 pm on 10-31/16):
Clinton by 6


First the results of the entire week of 10/24 to 10/30

Clinton: 47%
Trump: 41%
Johnson:6%
Stein:3%

For the pre-Comey announcement (Monday-Friday) it breaks like this:

Exactly as the entire week: Clinton 47%, Trump 41% Johnson 6% St in 3%

For post-Comey (Sat-Sun) no change:

Clinton 47% Trump 41% Johnson 7% Stein 3%
Quote:
Originally Posted by sware2cod View Post
Is Survey Monkey a decent poll? I have been seeing many of the SurveyMonkey state polls and I am not sure if the pollster is reliable. Do they do standard landline/cell live polls?
I'm pretty skeptical of online polling in general. I tend to think online polling would favor Trump more, though. so it's interesting that Clinton comes out on top here.

Regardless, online polling may be more valid than it otherwise would be to gauge trends - particularly in this case pre & post FBI headlines.
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