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NBC News/Survey Monkey National Poll ( Released 4 pm on 10-31/16):
Clinton by 6
First the results of the entire week of 10/24 to 10/30
Clinton: 47%
Trump: 41%
Johnson:6%
Stein:3%
For the pre-Comey announcement (Monday-Friday) it breaks like this:
Exactly as the entire week: Clinton 47%, Trump 41% Johnson 6% St in 3%
For post-Comey (Sat-Sun) no change:
Clinton 47% Trump 41% Johnson 7% Stein 3%
Most of the recent polls were likely conducted similar to the Franklin and Marshall outfit where 80% of the interviews were completed before the Comey announcement. https://www.city-data.com/forum/46021301-post1840.html
Add to this the Comey bombshell is still all over the news. Then we`ve got Donna B. getting sacked for CNN for give HC a couple of debate questions.
And now this morning it`s come to light Obama put the breaks on the FBI looking more closely at the Clinton Foundation.
This fallout is going to play strong right up until election day.
Most of the recent polls were likely conducted similar to the Franklin and Marshall outfit where 80% of the interviews were completed before the Comey announcement. https://www.city-data.com/forum/46021301-post1840.html
Add to this the Comey bombshell is still all over the news. Then we`ve got Donna B. getting sacked for CNN for give HC a couple of debate questions.
And now this morning it`s come to light Obama put the breaks on the FBI looking more closely at the Clinton Foundation.
This fallout is going to play strong right up until election day.
Right now the only news is bad news for HC.
RCP polls showing either Trump leading or Clinton with only a slight lead: RealClearPolitics - 2016 Latest Polls. Plus; we could hear form WikiLeaks or Anonymous or others at any time!
Plus; we could hear form WikiLeaks ...at any time!
This is sad that illegal hacking is influencing the election. I don't think that Russia just decided to go through this hacking effort on their own. IMO, there are ties to Trump's campaign and the Russian hacking effort. It will take time to prove it, but it will be uncovered at some point in the future.
Hillary has been attacked by illegal hacking and a 4 year GOP witchhunt funded by the taxpayers andshe is still ahead it the polls.
Rather surprisingly, 538 updated the Senate race to Democrat chance of winning control at 71.9 percent, which is a tic upward from yesterday.
Right now at 10:08 EST on 11/1, Clinton odds are 74%. Another observation from the 538 data is that most recently, Clinton's lead is declining by 1% per day. So with 6 days left, might be around 68% on election day assuming that rate of change stays the same. My guess is that will flatten out and the 538 predicted odds will be around 70% at the time of the election. In contrast, Obama was at 90% just before the 2012 election.
Here's some relevant information. The early Black vote which HC so desperately needs is down in key battle ground states. The 18-29 year old vote is down as well http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2...ters.html?_r=0
This election is all about the turnout and right now Trump has the all-important momentum.
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